Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 07/11, 16:00
Prediction: SV Donau vs SV Gloggnitz
Team pages: SV Donau · SV Gloggnitz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
SV Donau1.98
SV Gloggnitz1.64
1X2
SV Donau
Draw
SV Gloggnitz
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
SV Donau
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
SV Gloggnitz
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SV Donau
0–2
SV Gloggnitz
(2 last)
- SV Donau4-7SV Gloggnitz
- SV Gloggnitz1-0SV Donau
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SV Donau 1519 · SV Gloggnitz 1499
| SV Donau | Draw | SV Gloggnitz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 23% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 24% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours SV Gloggnitz: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SV Donau | SV Gloggnitz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.3 | 1.8 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 2.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Donau 0–0–2 SV Gloggnitz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost | SV Donau | 4-7 HT 1-3 | SV Gloggnitz |
| 26/09/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost | SV Gloggnitz | 1-0 HT 0-0 | SV Donau |
Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Marchfeld Donauauen | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 14 | 32 |
| 2 | Oberwart | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 30 |
| 3 | Kremser SC | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 29 |
| 4 | FCM Traiskirchen | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 28 |
| 5 | Wiener Sportclub | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 27 |
| 6 | Parndorf | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 22 |
| 7 | SC Wiener Viktoria | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 8 | SR Fach-Donaufeld | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 21 |
| 9 | USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 28 | 21 |
| 10 | SV Gloggnitz | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | 20 |
| 11 | Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 20 |
| 12 | SV Donau | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 27 | 18 |
| 13 | SV Leobendorf | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 18 |
| 14 | Favoritner AC | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 22 | 13 |
| 15 | SV Horn | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 16 | SV Wienerberg | 15 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 53 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SV Donau | SV Gloggnitz |
|---|---|---|
| SV Leobendorf | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| SV Wienerberg | 8-1 W | 0-0 D |
| SR Fach-Donaufeld | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| SC Wiener Viktoria | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Favoritner AC | 4-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Oberwart | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FCM Traiskirchen | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 5 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: SV Donau (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SV Donau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 24/10 | SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost |
4-1 | 8-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 26/09 | Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 11/09 | Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 28/08 | FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
SV Gloggnitz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/10 | SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 16/10 | Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 02/10 | FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 04/09 | FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SV Donau vs SV Gloggnitz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Donau win (45%). Probabilities: SV Donau 45%, draw 24%, SV Gloggnitz 31%.
How many goals are expected in SV Donau vs SV Gloggnitz?
The model expects 3.63 goals (SV Donau 1.98 · SV Gloggnitz 1.64), with a 59% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in SV Donau vs SV Gloggnitz?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.