Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 06/11, 19:30

Prediction: Oberwart vs Wiener Sportclub

Team pages: Oberwart · Wiener Sportclub

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

Oberwart1.68

Wiener Sportclub1.64

1X2

39% 24% 37%

Oberwart Draw Wiener Sportclub

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Oberwart 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWDDWD

Wiener Sportclub 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLWLDWWD

Head-to-head

Oberwart 3–1–2 Wiener Sportclub (6 last)

Wiener Sportclub0-2Oberwart
Oberwart4-0Wiener Sportclub
Oberwart0-2Wiener Sportclub
Wiener Sportclub2-2Oberwart
Wiener Sportclub0-1Oberwart
Oberwart0-2Wiener Sportclub

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oberwart 1571 · Wiener Sportclub 1515

	Oberwart	Draw	Wiener Sportclub
Our model	38%	25%	37%
Market	39%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oberwart (rating 1571 vs 1515).
H2H favours Oberwart: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oberwart	Wiener Sportclub
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1	2.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.8	1.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.75

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:11 +2’	2.30	3.75	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Oberwart 3–1–2 Wiener Sportclub

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Wiener Sportclub	0-2 HT 0-2	Oberwart
31/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	4-0 HT 2-0	Wiener Sportclub
07/03/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	0-2 HT 0-1	Wiener Sportclub
10/08/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Wiener Sportclub	2-2 HT 2-1	Oberwart
10/11/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Wiener Sportclub	0-1 HT 0-0	Oberwart
28/07/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	0-2 HT 0-1	Wiener Sportclub

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	14	9	2	3	34	13	29
2	Wiener Sportclub	14	8	3	3	33	17	27
3	Oberwart	14	8	3	3	27	16	27
4	Kremser SC	14	8	2	4	27	19	26
5	FCM Traiskirchen	14	7	4	3	30	25	25
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	14	6	3	5	17	14	21
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	14	6	3	5	19	19	21
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	14	5	5	4	21	27	20
9	Parndorf	14	5	4	5	23	18	19
10	SV Donau	14	4	6	4	28	23	18
11	SV Leobendorf	14	5	3	6	19	19	18
12	SV Gloggnitz	14	4	5	5	17	21	17
13	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	14	5	2	7	15	20	17
14	Favoritner AC	14	4	1	9	9	21	13
15	SV Horn	14	3	3	8	18	22	12
16	SV Wienerberg	14	0	1	13	7	50	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oberwart	Wiener Sportclub
FCM Traiskirchen	1-1 D	2-2 D
SV Horn	3-1 W	4-3 W
FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-0 W	2-0 W
Parndorf	3-1 W	1-1 D
Kremser SC	1-3 L	3-4 L
SV Donau	0-2 L	3-2 W
SV Leobendorf	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oberwart

WLLWWWDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
23/10	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	5	3	W
16/10	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
09/10	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
02/10	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-1	10	2	W
25/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
18/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
11/09	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-3	1-3	4	5	L
04/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
29/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	9	6	W

Wiener Sportclub

LDWLWLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-2	6	6	D
23/10	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	4-3	5	3	W
16/10	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
09/10	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
02/10	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-3	3-4	4	6	L
26/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-2	2	4	W
18/09	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
12/09	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	6-0	7	3	W
04/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
28/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oberwart vs Wiener Sportclub?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oberwart win (39%). Probabilities: Oberwart 39%, draw 24%, Wiener Sportclub 37%.

How many goals are expected in Oberwart vs Wiener Sportclub?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Oberwart 1.68 · Wiener Sportclub 1.64), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Oberwart vs Wiener Sportclub?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.