Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 06/11, 19:30

Prediction: Kremser SC vs SV Leobendorf

Team pages: Kremser SC · SV Leobendorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Kremser SC1.75

SV Leobendorf1.24

1X2

49% 24% 27%

Kremser SC Draw SV Leobendorf

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Kremser SC 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWWWW

SV Leobendorf 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kremser SC 4–1–1 SV Leobendorf (6 last)

SV Leobendorf0-1Kremser SC
Kremser SC2-3SV Leobendorf
SV Leobendorf2-3Kremser SC
Kremser SC2-1SV Leobendorf
Kremser SC1-1SV Leobendorf
SV Leobendorf0-1Kremser SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kremser SC 1585 · SV Leobendorf 1477

	Kremser SC	Draw	SV Leobendorf
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	50%	22%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kremser SC (rating 1585 vs 1477).
H2H favours Kremser SC: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kremser SC	SV Leobendorf
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.9 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/0/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.1	2.9 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.00

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:06 +3’	1.80	4.00	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kremser SC 4–1–1 SV Leobendorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	0-1 HT 0-0	Kremser SC
08/08/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	2-3 HT 1-2	SV Leobendorf
18/04/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	2-3 HT 0-2	Kremser SC
20/09/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	2-1 HT 2-1	SV Leobendorf
31/05/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	1-1 HT 0-0	SV Leobendorf
04/11/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	0-1 HT 0-0	Kremser SC

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	14	9	2	3	34	13	29
2	Wiener Sportclub	14	8	3	3	33	17	27
3	Oberwart	14	8	3	3	27	16	27
4	Kremser SC	14	8	2	4	27	19	26
5	FCM Traiskirchen	14	7	4	3	30	25	25
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	14	6	3	5	17	14	21
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	14	6	3	5	19	19	21
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	14	5	5	4	21	27	20
9	Parndorf	14	5	4	5	23	18	19
10	SV Donau	14	4	6	4	28	23	18
11	SV Leobendorf	14	5	3	6	19	19	18
12	SV Gloggnitz	14	4	5	5	17	21	17
13	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	14	5	2	7	15	20	17
14	Favoritner AC	14	4	1	9	9	21	13
15	SV Horn	14	3	3	8	18	22	12
16	SV Wienerberg	14	0	1	13	7	50	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kremser SC	SV Leobendorf
SV Wienerberg	3-0 W	3-0 W
SR Fach-Donaufeld	4-3 W	3-0 W
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	2-1 W	1-2 L
SC Wiener Viktoria	1-0 W	0-1 L
Wiener Sportclub	4-3 W	2-1 W
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	3-0 W	2-1 W
Favoritner AC	3-0 W	0-3 L
Oberwart	3-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	8 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Kremser SC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kremser SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-0	9	2	W
23/10	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-2	4-3	8	6	W
16/10	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-1	5	8	W
09/10	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	8	7	W
02/10	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-2	4-3	2	6	W
25/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-0	2	5	W
22/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	6	8	L
18/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	1	5	W
11/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-1	6	5	W
28/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	7	L

SV Leobendorf

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-3	6	5	L
23/10	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
17/10	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	9	3	W
11/10	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
04/10	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	8	3	L
26/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	9	5	L
18/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
12/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	8	9	W
04/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
29/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kremser SC vs SV Leobendorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kremser SC win (49%). Probabilities: Kremser SC 49%, draw 24%, SV Leobendorf 27%.

How many goals are expected in Kremser SC vs SV Leobendorf?

The model expects 3 goals (Kremser SC 1.75 · SV Leobendorf 1.24), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kremser SC vs SV Leobendorf?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.