Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth vs SV Horn

Team pages: USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth · SV Horn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth1.86

SV Horn1.56

1X2

45% 23% 32%

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Draw SV Horn

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWDLLD

SV Horn 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLLLD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1485 · SV Horn 1445

	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	Draw	SV Horn
Our model	44%	24%	32%
Market	45%	22%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth (rating 1485 vs 1445).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	SV Horn
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.1	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.4	1.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:04 +8’	2.00	4.00	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	14	9	2	3	34	13	29
2	Wiener Sportclub	14	8	3	3	33	17	27
3	Oberwart	14	8	3	3	27	16	27
4	Kremser SC	14	8	2	4	27	19	26
5	FCM Traiskirchen	14	7	4	3	30	25	25
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	14	6	3	5	17	14	21
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	14	6	3	5	19	19	21
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	14	5	5	4	21	27	20
9	Parndorf	14	5	4	5	23	18	19
10	SV Donau	14	4	6	4	28	23	18
11	SV Leobendorf	14	5	3	6	19	19	18
12	SV Gloggnitz	14	4	5	5	17	21	17
13	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	14	5	2	7	15	20	17
14	Favoritner AC	14	4	1	9	9	21	13
15	SV Horn	14	3	3	8	18	22	12
16	SV Wienerberg	14	0	1	13	7	50	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	SV Horn
FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-1 D	1-3 L
Parndorf	0-5 L	0-1 L
Kremser SC	1-2 L	1-0 W
SV Gloggnitz	1-1 D	3-1 W
SC Wiener Viktoria	1-5 L	1-1 D
Wiener Sportclub	2-1 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SV Horn (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth

WLDDWWDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-1	0	5	D
23/10	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-5	4	2	L
16/10	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-2	4	8	L
10/10	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-2	4	5	D
04/10	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
26/09	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	3-1	5	1	W
20/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	2-2	3	3	D
12/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
05/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-5	3	3	L
28/08	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	2-1	–	–	W

SV Horn

WLLWLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	1	8	D
23/10	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	3-4	5	3	L
16/10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
10/10	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
02/10	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-3	2	2	L
25/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	3-4	7	4	L
19/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
11/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
01/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
28/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	2	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth vs SV Horn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth win (45%). Probabilities: USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 45%, draw 23%, SV Horn 32%.

How many goals are expected in USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth vs SV Horn?

The model expects 3.42 goals (USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1.86 · SV Horn 1.56), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth vs SV Horn?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.