Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 06/11, 19:00

Prediction: FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SR Fach-Donaufeld

Team pages: FC Marchfeld Donauauen · SR Fach-Donaufeld

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

FC Marchfeld Donauauen1.92

SR Fach-Donaufeld1.02

1X2

58% 23% 19%

FC Marchfeld Donauauen Draw SR Fach-Donaufeld

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Marchfeld Donauauen 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDWLWD

SR Fach-Donaufeld 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDLDWWLWLD

Head-to-head

FC Marchfeld Donauauen 3–2–1 SR Fach-Donaufeld (6 last)

FC Marchfeld Donauauen2-0SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld0-0FC Marchfeld Donauauen
SR Fach-Donaufeld0-5FC Marchfeld Donauauen
FC Marchfeld Donauauen2-2SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld1-0FC Marchfeld Donauauen
FC Marchfeld Donauauen2-1SR Fach-Donaufeld

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1563 · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1473

	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	Draw	SR Fach-Donaufeld
Our model	57%	24%	19%
Market	59%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Marchfeld Donauauen (rating 1563 vs 1473).
H2H favours FC Marchfeld Donauauen: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	SR Fach-Donaufeld
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.2	3.1 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.20

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:33 +39’	1.53	4.20	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 3–2–1 SR Fach-Donaufeld

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/06/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	2-0 HT 1-0	SR Fach-Donaufeld
22/11/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
01/03/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	0-5 HT 0-3	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
02/08/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	2-2 HT 1-1	SR Fach-Donaufeld
31/05/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
07/11/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	2-1 HT 1-0	SR Fach-Donaufeld

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	14	9	2	3	34	13	29
2	Wiener Sportclub	14	8	3	3	33	17	27
3	Oberwart	14	8	3	3	27	16	27
4	Kremser SC	14	8	2	4	27	19	26
5	FCM Traiskirchen	14	7	4	3	30	25	25
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	14	6	3	5	17	14	21
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	14	6	3	5	19	19	21
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	14	5	5	4	21	27	20
9	Parndorf	14	5	4	5	23	18	19
10	SV Donau	14	4	6	4	28	23	18
11	SV Leobendorf	14	5	3	6	19	19	18
12	SV Gloggnitz	14	4	5	5	17	21	17
13	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	14	5	2	7	15	20	17
14	Favoritner AC	14	4	1	9	9	21	13
15	SV Horn	14	3	3	8	18	22	12
16	SV Wienerberg	14	0	1	13	7	50	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	SR Fach-Donaufeld
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	1-1 D	2-2 D
SC Wiener Viktoria	3-0 W	0-1 L
Wiener Sportclub	0-2 L	0-0 D
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	4-0 W	0-2 L
SV Gloggnitz	3-2 W	4-0 W
Parndorf	4-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Marchfeld Donauauen (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Marchfeld Donauauen

WWWWLDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-1	7	5	D
23/10	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	3-0	5	7	W
16/10	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
09/10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	4-0	2	4	W
02/10	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
25/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
18/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/09	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
04/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-2	7	3	W
28/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	4-1	4	2	W

SR Fach-Donaufeld

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
23/10	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-3	3-4	2	6	L
17/10	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	15	7	W
11/10	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
03/10	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
26/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	4-0	6	0	W
20/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	2-2	5	3	D
12/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	10	5	L
04/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
29/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	2	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Marchfeld Donauauen win (58%). Probabilities: FC Marchfeld Donauauen 58%, draw 23%, SR Fach-Donaufeld 19%.

How many goals are expected in FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

The model expects 2.95 goals (FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1.92 · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1.02), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.