Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 21/08, 19:10

Prediction: Favoritner AC vs SR Fach-Donaufeld

Team pages: Favoritner AC · SR Fach-Donaufeld

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Favoritner AC1.56

SR Fach-Donaufeld1.46

1X2

39% 25% 35%

Favoritner AC Draw SR Fach-Donaufeld

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Favoritner AC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWDLWL

SR Fach-Donaufeld 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Favoritner AC 1–5 SR Fach-Donaufeld (6 last)

Favoritner AC2-0SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld2-0Favoritner AC
SR Fach-Donaufeld2-1Favoritner AC
Favoritner AC2-4SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld5-0Favoritner AC
Favoritner AC2-3SR Fach-Donaufeld

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Favoritner AC 1525 · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1509

	Favoritner AC	Draw	SR Fach-Donaufeld
Our model	39%	26%	35%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SR Fach-Donaufeld: 5-0-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Favoritner AC	SR Fach-Donaufeld
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.9 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.6	4.1 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.75

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:19 +2’	2.25	3.75	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Favoritner AC 1–0–5 SR Fach-Donaufeld

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	2-0 HT 1-0	SR Fach-Donaufeld
20/09/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	2-0 HT 1-0	Favoritner AC
30/05/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	2-1 HT 0-0	Favoritner AC
02/11/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	2-4 HT 1-3	SR Fach-Donaufeld
30/03/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	5-0 HT 2-0	Favoritner AC
01/09/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	2-3 HT 0-1	SR Fach-Donaufeld

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wiener Sportclub	3	3	0	0	7	1	9
2	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	3	2	1	0	6	4	7
3	Oberwart	3	2	0	1	7	4	6
4	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	3	2	0	1	9	2	6
5	SV Gloggnitz	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
6	SR Fach-Donaufeld	3	2	0	1	4	5	6
7	Parndorf	3	1	2	0	8	3	5
8	SV Leobendorf	3	1	2	0	2	1	5
9	SV Horn	3	1	1	1	4	2	4
10	FCM Traiskirchen	3	1	1	1	7	7	4
11	Favoritner AC	3	1	0	2	1	3	3
12	SC Wiener Viktoria	3	1	0	2	4	4	3
13	Kremser SC	3	0	2	1	3	5	2
14	SV Donau	3	0	1	2	3	11	1
15	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	3	0	0	3	1	6	0
16	SV Wienerberg	3	0	0	3	3	12	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Favoritner AC

LWWWLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
07/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
31/07	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
24/07	LAC Inter Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
10/07	FC Gleisdorf 09 Europe Friendlies	2-1	5-2	3	0	W
06/06	SC Retz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
29/05	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	4-0	7	2	W
22/05	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	8	1	W
15/05	Neusiedl Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	3-0	7	2	W
08/05	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-4	7	1	L

SR Fach-Donaufeld

WLWDLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
07/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	10	9	W
31/07	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
25/07	Grazer AK Austria Cup	0-1	0-4	2	4	L
17/07	Admira Wacker Europe Friendlies	1-1	3-2	5	0	W
14/07	Rapid Vienna II Europe Friendlies	1-4	1-6	6	2	L
10/07	FK Austria Vienna II Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	5	0	D
03/07	SC Zwettl Europe Friendlies	3-0	4-1	–	–	W
03/06	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	13	2	L
29/05	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	4-2	8	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Favoritner AC vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Favoritner AC win (39%). Probabilities: Favoritner AC 39%, draw 25%, SR Fach-Donaufeld 35%.

How many goals are expected in Favoritner AC vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Favoritner AC 1.56 · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1.46), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Favoritner AC vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.