Football · Argentina Torneo A · 05/07, 22:00

Prediction: Defensores de Belgrano VR vs Escobar FC

Expected goals: 2.35 (Defensores de Belgrano VR 1.46 · Escobar FC 0.88). The model gives 49% home, 30% draw, 21% away. Over 2 goals (52%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Defensores de Belgrano VR sits at 4-2-4 (W-D-L), while Escobar FC arrives on a 5-1-4 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Defensores de Belgrano VR and 1 for Escobar FC.

49%1
49% 30% 21%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Defensores de Belgrano VR 1509 · Escobar FC 1504
Defensores de Belgrano VRDrawEscobar FC
Our model50%29%21%
Market49%31%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.35Defensores de Belgrano VR 1.46 · Escobar FC 0.88
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 52%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Defensores de Belgrano VREscobar FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.91.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.41.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.64.4 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores de Belgrano VR 001 Escobar FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Argentina Torneo A
Escobar FC3-2
HT 0-1
Defensores de Belgrano VR

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sportivo Belgrano 15762 18627
2 CA Douglas Haig 15834 191227
3 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 15744 262025
4 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 15645 141022
5 Defensores de Belgrano VR 15645 191622
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 15564 111221
7 Independiente Chivilcoy 15456 121817
8 Escobar FC 15528 162517
9 Club Atlético El Linqueño 15348 111913
10 Gimnasia y Esgrima 15348 91713

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDefensores de Belgrano VREscobar FC
Sportivo Las Parejas 1-1 D 0-1 L
Independiente Chivilcoy 2-0 W 0-0 D
Sportivo Belgrano 0-1 L 1-3 L
CA Douglas Haig 1-0 W 1-4 L
Club Atlético El Linqueño 2-0 W 1-0 W
Gimnasia y Esgrima 0-1 L 2-1 W
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 0-3 L 0-2 L
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 0-0 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Defensores de Belgrano VR (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Defensores de Belgrano VR

WLDLLWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 1-1 23 D
21/06 Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-0 211 W
15/06 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 73 L
07/06 CA Douglas Haig
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 22 W
31/05 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 2-0 28 W
24/05 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 65 L
16/05 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-3 06 L
10/05 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 62 D
03/05 Escobar FC
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-3 25 L
26/04 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-0 51 W

Escobar FC

WWLLDLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-1 W
20/06 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 76 L
13/06 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentina Torneo A
2-0 2-0 35 W
07/06 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 45 W
30/05 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 64 L
24/05 Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 71 D
17/05 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-3 75 L
10/05 CA Douglas Haig
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 1-4 27 L
03/05 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 3-2 55 W
26/04 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
2-1 2-1 27 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Defensores de Belgrano VR vs Escobar FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensores de Belgrano VR win (49%). Probabilities: Defensores de Belgrano VR 49%, draw 30%, Escobar FC 21%.

How many goals are expected in Defensores de Belgrano VR vs Escobar FC?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Defensores de Belgrano VR 1.46 · Escobar FC 0.88), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Defensores de Belgrano VR vs Escobar FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.