Prediction: Bourg-Peronnas vs Thionville FC
Team pages: Bourg-Peronnas · Thionville FC
| Bourg-Peronnas | Draw | Thionville FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 29% | 41% |
| Market | 31% | 28% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bourg-Peronnas | Thionville FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.5 | 1.4 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Standings · France Ligue 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thionville FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | La Roche VF | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Rouen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Caen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Villefranche | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Le Puy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Versailles 78 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Bourg-Peronnas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Valenciennes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | US Orleans 45 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Paris 13 Atletico | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Bastia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Cannes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | FC Fleury 91 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | US Quevilly | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Concarneau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Amiens | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Aubagne Air Bel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bourg-Peronnas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Dijon Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Grenoble Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 24/04 | Sochaux France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 10/04 | Dijon France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Thionville FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
1-2 | 4-3 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 07/08 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/07 | Nancy Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Chambly Thelle FC France National 2 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Bastia-Borgo France National 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Bourges 18 France National 2 |
1-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Chantilly France National 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Colmar France National 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Feignies Aulnoye FC France National 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Dieppe France National 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bourg-Peronnas vs Thionville FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Thionville FC win (41%). Probabilities: Bourg-Peronnas 31%, draw 28%, Thionville FC 41%.
How many goals are expected in Bourg-Peronnas vs Thionville FC?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Bourg-Peronnas 1.16 · Thionville FC 1.39), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bourg-Peronnas vs Thionville FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.