Football · France Ligue 3 · 20/08, 20:45

Prediction: Rouen vs US Quevilly

Team pages: Rouen · US Quevilly

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.98Total
Rouen1.3
US Quevilly0.68
1X2
52% 28% 20%
Rouen Draw US Quevilly
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Rouen 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DLWDLWWWDW
US Quevilly 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DWDLWLLDLD
Head-to-head
Rouen 2–1–2 US Quevilly (5 last)
  • US Quevilly0-0Rouen
  • Rouen1-0US Quevilly
  • US Quevilly2-1Rouen
  • Rouen2-0US Quevilly
  • US Quevilly1-0Rouen
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rouen 1546 · US Quevilly 1469
RouenDrawUS Quevilly
Our model50%31%18%
Market53%26%21%
Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rouen (rating 1546 vs 1469).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RouenUS Quevilly
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.70.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.8 / 6.91.8 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.23.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rouen 212 US Quevilly

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
France Ligue 3
US Quevilly0-0
HT 0-0
Rouen
12/12/25
France Ligue 3
Rouen1-0
HT 1-0
US Quevilly
18/04/25
France Ligue 3
US Quevilly2-1
HT 2-0
Rouen
06/12/24
France Ligue 3
Rouen2-0
HT 0-0
US Quevilly
13/02/21
France Cup
US Quevilly1-0
HT 0-0
Rouen

Standings · France Ligue 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Thionville FC 2200 736
2 La Roche VF 2200 426
3 Rouen 2110 214
4 Caen 2101 743
5 Villefranche 2101 433
6 Le Puy 2101 213
7 Versailles 78 2101 333
8 Bourg-Peronnas 2101 343
9 Valenciennes 2101 243
10 US Orleans 45 2101 323
11 Paris 13 Atletico 2101 123
11 SC Bastia 2101 123
13 Cannes 2020 112
13 FC Fleury 91 2020 112
15 US Quevilly 2011 121
16 Concarneau 2011 131
17 Amiens 2011 011
18 Aubagne Air Bel 2002 040

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRouenUS Quevilly
US Orleans 45 2-1 W 3-0 W
Laval 0-1 L 0-5 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rouen

DLWDLWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-1 34 W
07/08 Cannes
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 63 D
31/07 Avranches
Europe Friendlies
2-0 2-0 103 W
28/07 Al-Wakrah SC
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-0 W
25/07 Boulogne
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 52 W
24/05 Laval
France Ligue 2 Play-Offs
0-1 0-1 57 L
19/05 Laval
France Ligue 2 Play-Offs
0-1 1-1 46 D
15/05 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-1 85 W
09/05 Versailles 78
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-3 131 L
02/05 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 86 D

US Quevilly

DWDLWLLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 28 D
07/08 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 42 L
22/07 Clermont Foot
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-1 03 D
18/07 Amiens
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-2 33 L
15/07 Laval
Europe Friendlies
0-2 0-5 40 L
15/05 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-0 72 W
09/05 Stade Briochin
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-3 44 L
02/05 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 26 D
24/04 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-0 3-0 05 W
17/04 Le Puy
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 24 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rouen vs US Quevilly?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rouen win (52%). Probabilities: Rouen 52%, draw 28%, US Quevilly 20%.

How many goals are expected in Rouen vs US Quevilly?

The model expects 1.98 goals (Rouen 1.3 · US Quevilly 0.68), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rouen vs US Quevilly?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.