Football · France Ligue 3 · 20/08, 20:45

Prediction: Le Puy vs Amiens

Team pages: Le Puy · Amiens

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Le Puy1.28
Amiens1.12
1X2
39% 29% 32%
Le Puy Draw Amiens
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Le Puy 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DDLLDWDLWL
Amiens 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLWWLDWWDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Le Puy 1500 · Amiens 1461
Le PuyDrawAmiens
Our model39%30%31%
Market40%28%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Le PuyAmiens
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.71.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 1.10.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.11.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 0.12.6 / 0

Standings · France Ligue 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Thionville FC 2200 736
2 La Roche VF 2200 426
3 Rouen 2110 214
4 Caen 2101 743
5 Villefranche 2101 433
6 Le Puy 2101 213
7 Versailles 78 2101 333
8 Bourg-Peronnas 2101 343
9 Valenciennes 2101 243
10 US Orleans 45 2101 323
11 Paris 13 Atletico 2101 123
11 SC Bastia 2101 123
13 Cannes 2020 112
13 FC Fleury 91 2020 112
15 US Quevilly 2011 121
16 Concarneau 2011 131
17 Amiens 2011 011
18 Aubagne Air Bel 2002 040

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLe PuyAmiens
FC Fleury 91 0-4 L 0-0 D
US Quevilly 0-0 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Amiens (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Le Puy

DDLLDWDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Versailles 78
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 24 L
07/08 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-0 W
17/07 Montpellier
Europe Friendlies
1-2 2-5 20 L
11/07 Dijon
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-1 21 D
08/07 Aubagne Air Bel
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-0 W
15/05 Sochaux
France Ligue 3
0-2 2-2 32 D
09/05 Dijon
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-2 94 L
01/05 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
0-3 0-4 82 L
24/04 Versailles 78
France Ligue 3
1-1 2-2 12 D
17/04 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 64 D

Amiens

LLWWLDWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 La Roche VF
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 67 L
07/08 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 34 D
31/07 Red Star FC 93
Europe Friendlies
1-0 3-1 14 W
31/07 Chambly Thelle FC
Europe Friendlies
0-0 2-0 31 W
25/07 KV Kortrijk
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-1 72 D
24/07 Boulogne
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 40 L
18/07 US Quevilly
Europe Friendlies
0-1 2-1 33 W
17/07 Le Havre
Club Friendly List
2-1 2-1 W
11/07 Paris 13 Atletico
Europe Friendlies
1-3 2-4 80 L
09/05 St Etienne
France Ligue 2
0-2 0-5 62 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Le Puy vs Amiens?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Le Puy win (39%). Probabilities: Le Puy 39%, draw 29%, Amiens 32%.

How many goals are expected in Le Puy vs Amiens?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Le Puy 1.28 · Amiens 1.12), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Le Puy vs Amiens?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.