Football · France Ligue 3 · 19/09, 14:45
Prediction: Concarneau vs Caen
Team pages: Concarneau · Caen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Concarneau1.53
Caen1.16
1X2
Concarneau
Draw
Caen
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Concarneau
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Caen
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Concarneau
1–3–2
Caen
(6 last)
- Caen0-0Concarneau
- Concarneau3-3Caen
- Concarneau1-0Caen
- Caen1-0Concarneau
- Concarneau0-2Caen
- Caen0-0Concarneau
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Caen: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Concarneau | Caen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 67/11/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Concarneau 1–3–2 Caen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 France Ligue 3 | Caen | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Concarneau |
| 16/01/26 France Ligue 3 | Concarneau | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Caen |
| 26/07/25 Club Friendly List | Concarneau | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Caen |
| 13/01/24 France Ligue 2 | Caen | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Concarneau |
| 19/08/23 France Ligue 2 | Concarneau | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Caen |
| 14/07/18 Europe Friendlies | Caen | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Concarneau |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Concarneau | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| Aubagne Air Bel | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Thionville FC | 2-2 D | 3-4 L |
| Valenciennes | 0-0 D | 4-0 W |
| Villefranche | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Paris 13 Atletico | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Caen (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Concarneau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 20/08 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 07/08 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/04 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Stade Briochin France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Caen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 27/08 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
2-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 07/08 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Concarneau vs Caen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Concarneau win (45%). Probabilities: Concarneau 45%, draw 28%, Caen 28%.
How many goals are expected in Concarneau vs Caen?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Concarneau 1.53 · Caen 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Concarneau vs Caen?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.