Football · France Ligue 3 · 26/09, 20:45

Prediction: FC Fleury 91 vs Aubagne Air Bel

Team pages: FC Fleury 91 · Aubagne Air Bel

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
FC Fleury 911.57
Aubagne Air Bel0.88
1X2
53% 26% 21%
FC Fleury 91 Draw Aubagne Air Bel
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Fleury 91 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLLDDLLWWD
Aubagne Air Bel 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LDWLLLWDLL
Head-to-head
FC Fleury 91 1–1 Aubagne Air Bel (2 last)
  • Aubagne Air Bel1-2FC Fleury 91
  • FC Fleury 910-2Aubagne Air Bel
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Fleury 91 1462 · Aubagne Air Bel 1429
FC Fleury 91DrawAubagne Air Bel
Our model52%28%20%
Market54%25%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Fleury 91Aubagne Air Bel
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.20.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.91.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.44.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Fleury 91 101 Aubagne Air Bel

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/03/26
France Ligue 3
Aubagne Air Bel1-2
HT 0-1
FC Fleury 91
26/09/25
France Ligue 3
FC Fleury 910-2
HT 0-0
Aubagne Air Bel

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Fleury 91Aubagne Air Bel
Thionville FC 1-1 D 0-3 L
Rouen 1-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Fleury 91 (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Fleury 91

WLLDDLLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-1 86 D
12/09 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
0-1 2-1 58 W
05/09 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
3-0 6-1 26 W
29/08 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-2 46 L
20/08 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 58 L
14/08 Cannes
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 32 D
07/08 Amiens
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 44 D
15/05 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-2 45 L
09/05 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-2 94 L
01/05 Le Puy
France Ligue 3
3-0 4-0 52 W

Aubagne Air Bel

LDWLLLWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 23 L
12/09 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-2 41 L
05/09 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 43 D
29/08 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
2-0 2-0 310 W
20/08 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-1 L
14/08 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 58 L
07/08 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-3 16 L
15/05 Caen
France Ligue 3
1-0 3-1 33 W
09/05 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
1-1 1-1 24 D
01/05 Stade Briochin
France Ligue 3
1-2 1-2 118 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Fleury 91 vs Aubagne Air Bel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Fleury 91 win (53%). Probabilities: FC Fleury 91 53%, draw 26%, Aubagne Air Bel 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Fleury 91 vs Aubagne Air Bel?

The model expects 2.45 goals (FC Fleury 91 1.57 · Aubagne Air Bel 0.88), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Fleury 91 vs Aubagne Air Bel?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.