Football · France Ligue 3 · 19/09, 14:45
Prediction: Rouen vs Aubagne Air Bel
Team pages: Rouen · Aubagne Air Bel
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Rouen1.9
Aubagne Air Bel0.36
1X2
Rouen
Draw
Aubagne Air Bel
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 58%
Most likely score
1-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Rouen
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Aubagne Air Bel
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rouen
1–1–2
Aubagne Air Bel
(4 last)
- Rouen3-1Aubagne Air Bel
- Aubagne Air Bel1-1Rouen
- Rouen0-1Aubagne Air Bel
- Aubagne Air Bel2-1Rouen
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rouen (rating 1594 vs 1417).
- H2H favours Aubagne Air Bel: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rouen | Aubagne Air Bel | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rouen 1–1–2 Aubagne Air Bel
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 France Ligue 3 | Rouen | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Aubagne Air Bel |
| 05/12/25 France Ligue 3 | Aubagne Air Bel | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Rouen |
| 24/01/25 France Ligue 3 | Rouen | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Aubagne Air Bel |
| 23/08/24 France Ligue 3 | Aubagne Air Bel | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Rouen |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rouen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 04/09 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 24/04 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
Aubagne Air Bel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 20/08 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 07/08 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 15/05 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Stade Briochin France Ligue 3 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 8 | L |
| 24/04 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rouen vs Aubagne Air Bel?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rouen win (74%). Probabilities: Rouen 74%, draw 20%, Aubagne Air Bel 5%.
How many goals are expected in Rouen vs Aubagne Air Bel?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Rouen 1.9 · Aubagne Air Bel 0.36), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rouen vs Aubagne Air Bel?
The model gives a 58% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.