Football · France Ligue 3 · 26/09, 20:45

Prediction: Bourg-Peronnas vs Concarneau

Team pages: Bourg-Peronnas · Concarneau

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
Bourg-Peronnas0.85
Concarneau1.18
1X2
25% 33% 42%
Bourg-Peronnas Draw Concarneau
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Bourg-Peronnas 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWWWLLLLLD
Concarneau 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
DDDLDWDDWW
Head-to-head
Bourg-Peronnas 2–1–3 Concarneau (6 last)
  • Concarneau0-1Bourg-Peronnas
  • Bourg-Peronnas0-2Concarneau
  • Bourg-Peronnas0-0Concarneau
  • Concarneau2-1Bourg-Peronnas
  • Concarneau3-2Bourg-Peronnas
  • Bourg-Peronnas3-2Concarneau
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Concarneau (rating 1442 vs 1547).
  • H2H favours Concarneau: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bourg-PeronnasConcarneau
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.41.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.70.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.32.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.13.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bourg-Peronnas 213 Concarneau

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/01/26
France Ligue 3
Concarneau0-1
HT 0-0
Bourg-Peronnas
22/08/25
France Ligue 3
Bourg-Peronnas0-2
HT 0-1
Concarneau
18/04/25
France Ligue 3
Bourg-Peronnas0-0
HT 0-0
Concarneau
06/12/24
France Ligue 3
Concarneau2-1
HT 1-0
Bourg-Peronnas
19/05/23
France Ligue 3
Concarneau3-2
HT 2-2
Bourg-Peronnas
16/01/23
France Ligue 3
Bourg-Peronnas3-2
HT 2-1
Concarneau

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBourg-PeronnasConcarneau
Paris 13 Atletico 1-1 D 0-0 D
Caen 0-2 L 2-0 W
Aubagne Air Bel 0-2 L 2-1 W
Thionville FC 0-2 L 2-2 D
Valenciennes 0-2 L 0-0 D
Villefranche 3-2 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 4 L 3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Concarneau (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bourg-Peronnas

LWWWLLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 15 D
12/09 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 L
05/09 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 92 L
29/08 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-2 410 L
20/08 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-2 75 L
14/08 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 64 L
07/08 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
1-0 3-2 53 W
09/05 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-0 85 W
02/05 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-0 76 W
24/04 Sochaux
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-2 15 L

Concarneau

DDDLDWDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-0 43 W
12/09 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-1 81 W
05/09 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
2-0 2-2 25 D
29/08 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 53 D
20/08 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-0 75 W
14/08 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 48 D
07/08 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-2 44 L
15/05 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
1-1 2-2 42 D
09/05 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 33 D
30/04 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 73 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bourg-Peronnas vs Concarneau?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Concarneau win (42%). Probabilities: Bourg-Peronnas 25%, draw 33%, Concarneau 42%.

How many goals are expected in Bourg-Peronnas vs Concarneau?

The model expects 2.03 goals (Bourg-Peronnas 0.85 · Concarneau 1.18), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bourg-Peronnas vs Concarneau?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.