Football · France Ligue 3 · 19/09, 14:45
Prediction: Le Puy vs Villefranche
Team pages: Le Puy · Villefranche
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Le Puy1.88
Villefranche1.13
1X2
Le Puy
Draw
Villefranche
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Le Puy
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Villefranche
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Le Puy
2–3–1
Villefranche
(6 last)
- Villefranche2-3Le Puy
- Le Puy3-0Villefranche
- Villefranche1-1Le Puy
- Le Puy1-1Villefranche
- Villefranche1-0Le Puy
- Le Puy1-1Villefranche
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Le Puy (rating 1489 vs 1432).
- H2H favours Le Puy: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Le Puy | Villefranche | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 2.2 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Le Puy 2–3–1 Villefranche
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 France Ligue 3 | Villefranche | 2-3 HT 0-3 | Le Puy |
| 17/10/25 France Ligue 3 | Le Puy | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Villefranche |
| 24/02/23 France Ligue 3 | Villefranche | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Le Puy |
| 16/09/22 France Ligue 3 | Le Puy | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Villefranche |
| 16/07/21 Europe Friendlies | Villefranche | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Le Puy |
| 20/12/19 France Ligue 3 | Le Puy | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Villefranche |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Le Puy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 20/08 | Amiens France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Sochaux France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Dijon France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
Villefranche
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | La Roche VF France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 11 | D |
| 05/09 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
0-3 | 1-6 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 07/08 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 24/04 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Le Puy vs Villefranche?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Le Puy win (54%). Probabilities: Le Puy 54%, draw 25%, Villefranche 22%.
How many goals are expected in Le Puy vs Villefranche?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Le Puy 1.88 · Villefranche 1.13), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Le Puy vs Villefranche?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.