Football · France Ligue 3 · 31/10, 14:45

Prediction: Rouen vs Concarneau

Team pages: Rouen · Concarneau

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Rouen1.32
Concarneau0.76
1X2
49% 29% 21%
Rouen Draw Concarneau
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Rouen 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DWWWDWWLWL
Concarneau 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
LDWDDWWDWD
Head-to-head
Rouen 1–3–0 Concarneau (4 last)
  • Concarneau0-0Rouen
  • Rouen0-0Concarneau
  • Rouen4-3Concarneau
  • Concarneau1-1Rouen
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rouen 1546 · Concarneau 1531
RouenDrawConcarneau
Our model49%31%20%
Market50%28%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RouenConcarneau
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 0.81.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.30.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.91.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.24.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rouen 1–3–0 Concarneau

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/04/26
France Ligue 3
Concarneau0-0
HT 0-0
Rouen
21/11/25
France Ligue 3
Rouen0-0
HT 0-0
Concarneau
28/02/25
France Ligue 3
Rouen4-3
HT 4-1
Concarneau
27/09/24
France Ligue 3
Concarneau1-1
HT 1-0
Rouen

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRouenConcarneau
Paris 13 Atletico 1-3 L 2-1 W
Bourg-Peronnas 2-0 W 1-1 D
Caen 2-3 L 2-0 W
Aubagne Air Bel 1-0 W 2-1 W
Thionville FC 4-0 W 2-2 D
Valenciennes 1-1 D 0-0 D
Villefranche 2-0 W 2-0 W
US Quevilly 3-0 W 1-1 D
US Orleans 45 2-1 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 6 W 1 D 2 L 4 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Rouen (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rouen

DWWWDWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-3 103 L
03/10 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-0 63 W
24/09 Caen
France Ligue 3
1-3 2-3 37 L
19/09 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-0 73 W
12/09 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
2-0 4-0 28 W
04/09 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 106 D
29/08 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-0 95 W
20/08 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
2-0 3-0 31 W
14/08 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-1 34 W
07/08 Cannes
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 –– D

Concarneau

LDWDDWWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-1 –– D
03/10 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-1 57 W
26/09 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 56 D
19/09 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-0 43 W
12/09 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-1 81 W
05/09 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
2-0 2-2 25 D
29/08 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 53 D
20/08 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-0 75 W
14/08 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 48 D
07/08 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-2 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rouen vs Concarneau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rouen win (49%). Probabilities: Rouen 49%, draw 29%, Concarneau 21%.

How many goals are expected in Rouen vs Concarneau?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Rouen 1.32 · Concarneau 0.76), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rouen vs Concarneau?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.