Football · France Ligue 3 · 07/11, 14:45
Prediction: Rouen vs SC Bastia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Rouen1.63
SC Bastia0.92
1X2
Rouen
Draw
SC Bastia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Rouen
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
SC Bastia
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rouen
0–1
SC Bastia
(1 last)
- Rouen0-2SC Bastia
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rouen (rating 1560 vs 1509).
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rouen | SC Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.7 | 3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rouen 0–0–1 SC Bastia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/23 Club Friendly List | Rouen | 0-2 HT 0-0 | SC Bastia |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rouen | SC Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| Concarneau | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Paris 13 Atletico | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Bourg-Peronnas | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Caen | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Aubagne Air Bel | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| US Quevilly | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| US Orleans 45 | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Rouen (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rouen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/09 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 04/09 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
SC Bastia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/10 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/10 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/09 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 17/09 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Amiens France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/08 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rouen vs SC Bastia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rouen win (53%). Probabilities: Rouen 53%, draw 27%, SC Bastia 20%.
How many goals are expected in Rouen vs SC Bastia?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Rouen 1.63 · SC Bastia 0.92), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rouen vs SC Bastia?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.