Football · France Ligue 3 · 07/11, 14:45
Prediction: Aubagne Air Bel vs Amiens
Team pages: Aubagne Air Bel · Amiens
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Aubagne Air Bel0.99
Amiens1.18
1X2
Aubagne Air Bel
Draw
Amiens
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Aubagne Air Bel
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Amiens
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amiens (rating 1448 vs 1532).
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aubagne Air Bel | Amiens | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 2.4 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.5 | 5 / 0.1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aubagne Air Bel | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| Versailles 78 | 0-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Le Puy | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| La Roche VF | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| SC Bastia | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Amiens (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aubagne Air Bel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 17/10 | Le Puy France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | La Roche VF France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 26/09 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 20/08 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Amiens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 19/09 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/09 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | Le Puy France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | La Roche VF France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aubagne Air Bel vs Amiens?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Amiens win (39%). Probabilities: Aubagne Air Bel 29%, draw 32%, Amiens 39%.
How many goals are expected in Aubagne Air Bel vs Amiens?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Aubagne Air Bel 0.99 · Amiens 1.18), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Aubagne Air Bel vs Amiens?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.