Football · France Ligue 3 · 07/11, 14:45
Prediction: Bourg-Peronnas vs Le Puy
Team pages: Bourg-Peronnas · Le Puy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
Bourg-Peronnas0.97
Le Puy1.17
1X2
Bourg-Peronnas
Draw
Le Puy
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Bourg-Peronnas
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Le Puy
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bourg-Peronnas
5–1–0
Le Puy
(6 last)
- Bourg-Peronnas1-0Le Puy
- Le Puy1-1Bourg-Peronnas
- Le Puy1-3Bourg-Peronnas
- Bourg-Peronnas2-0Le Puy
- Le Puy0-2Bourg-Peronnas
- Bourg-Peronnas4-0Le Puy
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Le Puy (rating 1411 vs 1495).
- H2H favours Bourg-Peronnas: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bourg-Peronnas | Le Puy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.2 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.8 | 3.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bourg-Peronnas 5–1–0 Le Puy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 France Ligue 3 | Bourg-Peronnas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Le Puy |
| 29/08/25 France Ligue 3 | Le Puy | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Bourg-Peronnas |
| 23/07/25 Club Friendly List | Le Puy | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Bourg-Peronnas |
| 14/04/23 France Ligue 3 | Bourg-Peronnas | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Le Puy |
| 25/11/22 France Ligue 3 | Le Puy | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Bourg-Peronnas |
| 22/11/19 France Ligue 3 | Bourg-Peronnas | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Le Puy |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bourg-Peronnas | Le Puy |
|---|---|---|
| Caen | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Aubagne Air Bel | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Thionville FC | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Valenciennes | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Le Puy (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bourg-Peronnas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | La Roche VF France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 03/10 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 20/08 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Le Puy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 26/09 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 20/08 | Amiens France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bourg-Peronnas vs Le Puy?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Le Puy win (39%). Probabilities: Bourg-Peronnas 29%, draw 32%, Le Puy 39%.
How many goals are expected in Bourg-Peronnas vs Le Puy?
The model expects 2.14 goals (Bourg-Peronnas 0.97 · Le Puy 1.17), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bourg-Peronnas vs Le Puy?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.