Football · France Ligue 3 · 07/11, 14:45

Prediction: Concarneau vs FC Fleury 91

Team pages: Concarneau · FC Fleury 91

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Concarneau1.78
FC Fleury 911.05
1X2
53% 26% 21%
Concarneau Draw FC Fleury 91
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Concarneau 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DWDDWWDWDL
FC Fleury 91 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLLWWDLWWD
Head-to-head
Concarneau 1–1 FC Fleury 91 (2 last)
  • FC Fleury 910-4Concarneau
  • Concarneau0-1FC Fleury 91
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Concarneau (rating 1550 vs 1495).
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ConcarneauFC Fleury 91
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.91.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 4.62.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.25.3 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Concarneau 1–0–1 FC Fleury 91

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/02/26
France Ligue 3
FC Fleury 910-4
HT 0-2
Concarneau
19/09/25
France Ligue 3
Concarneau0-1
HT 0-1
FC Fleury 91

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentConcarneauFC Fleury 91
Paris 13 Atletico 2-1 W 1-1 D
Bourg-Peronnas 1-1 D 1-0 W
Caen 2-0 W 3-2 W
Aubagne Air Bel 2-1 W 1-2 L
Thionville FC 2-2 D 1-1 D
Valenciennes 0-0 D 2-1 W
Villefranche 2-0 W 6-1 W
US Quevilly 1-1 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 4 W 4 D 0 L 4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Concarneau (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Concarneau

DWDDWWDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Rouen
France Ligue 3
1-2 1-2 16 L
17/10 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-1 –– D
03/10 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-1 57 W
26/09 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 56 D
19/09 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-0 43 W
12/09 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-1 81 W
05/09 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
2-0 2-2 25 D
29/08 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 53 D
20/08 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-0 75 W
14/08 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 48 D

FC Fleury 91

DLLWWDLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 44 D
17/10 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-0 136 W
03/10 Caen
France Ligue 3
1-1 3-2 03 W
26/09 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
1-1 1-2 65 L
19/09 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-1 86 D
12/09 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
0-1 2-1 58 W
05/09 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
3-0 6-1 26 W
29/08 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-2 46 L
20/08 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 58 L
14/08 Cannes
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Concarneau vs FC Fleury 91?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Concarneau win (53%). Probabilities: Concarneau 53%, draw 26%, FC Fleury 91 21%.

How many goals are expected in Concarneau vs FC Fleury 91?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Concarneau 1.78 · FC Fleury 91 1.05), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Concarneau vs FC Fleury 91?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.