Prediction: Le Puy vs Caen
- Le Puy1-0Caen
- Caen2-0Le Puy
| Le Puy | Draw | Caen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Le Puy | Caen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.4 | 1.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Le Puy 1–0–1 Caen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 France Ligue 3 | Le Puy | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Caen |
| 03/10/25 France Ligue 3 | Caen | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Le Puy |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Le Puy | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| Aubagne Air Bel | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Thionville FC | 1-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Valenciennes | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| SC Bastia | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Le Puy (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Le Puy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 26/09 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 20/08 | Amiens France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Caen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | La Roche VF France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/09 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 27/08 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
2-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 07/08 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Le Puy vs Caen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Le Puy win (39%). Probabilities: Le Puy 39%, draw 28%, Caen 33%.
How many goals are expected in Le Puy vs Caen?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Le Puy 1.36 · Caen 1.23), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Le Puy vs Caen?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.