Prediction: Amiens vs Thionville FC
Team pages: Amiens · Thionville FC
| Amiens | Draw | Thionville FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 29% | 25% |
| Market | 46% | 29% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amiens (rating 1547 vs 1478).
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Amiens | Thionville FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0.4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Amiens | Thionville FC |
|---|---|---|
| Versailles 78 | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Le Puy | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| La Roche VF | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| FC Fleury 91 | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Amiens (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amiens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 19/09 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/09 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | Le Puy France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | La Roche VF France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/08 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Thionville FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 03/10 | Le Puy France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | La Roche VF France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 19/09 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 20/08 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
1-2 | 4-3 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 07/08 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amiens vs Thionville FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Amiens win (46%). Probabilities: Amiens 46%, draw 29%, Thionville FC 25%.
How many goals are expected in Amiens vs Thionville FC?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Amiens 1.42 · Thionville FC 1), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Amiens vs Thionville FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.