Football · France Ligue 3 · 31/10, 14:45

Prediction: US Orleans 45 vs Villefranche

Team pages: US Orleans 45 · Villefranche

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
US Orleans 451.5
Villefranche1.01
1X2
47% 28% 24%
US Orleans 45 Draw Villefranche
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
US Orleans 45 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WLWLDLLDDL
Villefranche 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LWLLLDLLLW
Head-to-head
US Orleans 45 2–2–2 Villefranche (6 last)
  • US Orleans 450-0Villefranche
  • Villefranche1-2US Orleans 45
  • Villefranche2-0US Orleans 45
  • US Orleans 451-1Villefranche
  • US Orleans 452-0Villefranche
  • Villefranche3-0US Orleans 45
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · US Orleans 45 1464 · Villefranche 1442
US Orleans 45DrawVillefranche
Our model47%28%24%
Market47%28%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

US Orleans 45Villefranche
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.40.9 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.60.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.31.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.15.2 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · US Orleans 45 2–2–2 Villefranche

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/03/26
France Ligue 3
US Orleans 450-0
HT 0-0
Villefranche
21/10/25
France Ligue 3
Villefranche1-2
HT 1-1
US Orleans 45
21/02/25
France Ligue 3
Villefranche2-0
HT 0-0
US Orleans 45
20/09/24
France Ligue 3
US Orleans 451-1
HT 0-0
Villefranche
08/03/24
France Ligue 3
US Orleans 452-0
HT 1-0
Villefranche
29/09/23
France Ligue 3
Villefranche3-0
HT 1-0
US Orleans 45

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUS Orleans 45Villefranche
Cannes 0-0 D 2-1 W
Amiens 0-2 L 0-3 L
Versailles 78 0-4 L 1-2 L
Le Puy 1-1 D 1-4 L
La Roche VF 0-1 L 0-0 D
FC Fleury 91 2-0 W 1-6 L
Rouen 1-2 L 0-2 L
Concarneau 2-0 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 4 L 1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: US Orleans 45 (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

US Orleans 45

WLWLDLLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
1-1 2-3 26 L
01/10 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-1 –– D
26/09 Cannes
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 14 D
19/09 Amiens
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 –– L
12/09 Versailles 78
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-4 54 L
05/09 Le Puy
France Ligue 3
1-1 1-1 16 D
29/08 La Roche VF
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-1 75 L
20/08 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-0 108 W
14/08 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-2 44 L
07/08 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-0 44 W

Villefranche

LWLLLDLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Cannes
France Ligue 3
2-0 2-1 16 W
03/10 Amiens
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-3 64 L
26/09 Versailles 78
France Ligue 3
1-1 1-2 35 L
19/09 Le Puy
France Ligue 3
1-3 1-4 83 L
12/09 La Roche VF
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 711 D
05/09 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
0-3 1-6 76 L
29/08 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-2 35 L
20/08 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 25 L
14/08 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
2-0 2-0 78 W
07/08 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
0-1 2-3 43 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in US Orleans 45 vs Villefranche?

According to our model, the most likely result is a US Orleans 45 win (47%). Probabilities: US Orleans 45 47%, draw 28%, Villefranche 24%.

How many goals are expected in US Orleans 45 vs Villefranche?

The model expects 2.52 goals (US Orleans 45 1.5 · Villefranche 1.01), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in US Orleans 45 vs Villefranche?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.