Football · France Ligue 3 · 31/10, 14:45

Prediction: SC Bastia vs US Quevilly

Team pages: SC Bastia · US Quevilly

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
SC Bastia1.32
US Quevilly1.02
1X2
43% 29% 28%
SC Bastia Draw US Quevilly
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
SC Bastia 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWLWDLDD
US Quevilly 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDLWDWDDLW
Head-to-head
SC Bastia 3–2–1 US Quevilly (6 last)
  • US Quevilly0-1SC Bastia
  • SC Bastia0-0US Quevilly
  • SC Bastia0-1US Quevilly
  • US Quevilly1-1SC Bastia
  • SC Bastia3-0US Quevilly
  • US Quevilly1-2SC Bastia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Bastia 1483 · US Quevilly 1502
SC BastiaDrawUS Quevilly
Our model42%30%27%
Market44%28%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours SC Bastia: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SC BastiaUS Quevilly
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.21.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 51 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 04.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Bastia 3–2–1 US Quevilly

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/02/24
France Ligue 2
US Quevilly0-1
HT 0-1
SC Bastia
16/12/23
France Ligue 2
SC Bastia0-0
HT 0-0
US Quevilly
11/02/23
France Ligue 2
SC Bastia0-1
HT 0-1
US Quevilly
10/01/23
France Ligue 2
US Quevilly1-1
HT 1-0
SC Bastia
08/01/22
France Ligue 2
SC Bastia3-0
HT 1-0
US Quevilly
18/08/21
France Ligue 2
US Quevilly1-2
HT 0-1
SC Bastia

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSC BastiaUS Quevilly
Concarneau 1-1 D 1-1 D
US Orleans 45 1-1 D 3-2 W
Paris 13 Atletico 0-1 L 0-1 L
Cannes 1-1 D 1-3 L
Amiens 0-3 L 1-1 D
Versailles 78 2-3 L 0-0 D
Le Puy 0-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 4 L 2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: US Quevilly (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Bastia

LWLWLWDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-1 –– D
01/10 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-1 –– D
26/09 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 57 L
17/09 Cannes
France Ligue 3
1-1 1-1 –– D
12/09 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-0 –– W
05/09 Amiens
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-3 –– L
27/08 Caen
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-0 55 W
20/08 Versailles 78
France Ligue 3
1-2 2-3 –– L
14/08 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-0 –– W
07/08 Le Puy
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 –– L

US Quevilly

LDLWDWDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
1-1 3-2 26 W
03/10 Cannes
France Ligue 3
1-1 1-3 34 L
26/09 Amiens
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 07 D
19/09 Versailles 78
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 44 D
12/09 Le Puy
France Ligue 3
1-1 2-1 24 W
05/09 La Roche VF
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 12 D
29/08 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-1 86 W
20/08 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-3 51 L
14/08 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 28 D
07/08 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 42 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Bastia vs US Quevilly?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Bastia win (43%). Probabilities: SC Bastia 43%, draw 29%, US Quevilly 28%.

How many goals are expected in SC Bastia vs US Quevilly?

The model expects 2.34 goals (SC Bastia 1.32 · US Quevilly 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Bastia vs US Quevilly?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.