Football · France Ligue 3 · 07/11, 14:45
Prediction: Caen vs Versailles 78
Team pages: Caen · Versailles 78
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Caen1.54
Versailles 781.53
1X2
Caen
Draw
Versailles 78
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Caen
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Versailles 78
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Caen
1–2
Versailles 78
(3 last)
- Versailles 782-1Caen
- Caen0-2Versailles 78
- Caen3-1Versailles 78
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Versailles 78 (rating 1511 vs 1564).
- H2H favours Versailles 78: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Caen | Versailles 78 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 5.1 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caen 1–0–2 Versailles 78
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 France Ligue 3 | Versailles 78 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Caen |
| 22/08/25 France Ligue 3 | Caen | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Versailles 78 |
| 10/08/24 Club Friendly List | Caen | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Versailles 78 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Caen | Versailles 78 |
|---|---|---|
| Le Puy | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| SC Bastia | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Aubagne Air Bel | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Thionville FC | 3-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Versailles 78 (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Le Puy France Ligue 3 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 15/10 | La Roche VF France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/09 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 27/08 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
2-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
Versailles 78
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 17/10 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 03/10 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 26/09 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Amiens France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Le Puy France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caen vs Versailles 78?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Caen win (37%). Probabilities: Caen 37%, draw 26%, Versailles 78 37%.
How many goals are expected in Caen vs Versailles 78?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Caen 1.54 · Versailles 78 1.53), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Caen vs Versailles 78?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.