Football · Poland III Liga · 02/08, 12:00

Prediction: Widzew Lodz II vs CK Troszyn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Widzew Lodz II1.84

CK Troszyn1.61

1X2

43% 24% 33%

Widzew Lodz II Draw CK Troszyn

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Widzew Lodz II 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWLW

CK Troszyn 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWWLLL

Head-to-head

Widzew Lodz II 0–2 CK Troszyn (2 last)

Widzew Lodz II0-2CK Troszyn
CK Troszyn6-0Widzew Lodz II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Widzew Lodz II 1548 · CK Troszyn 1526

	Widzew Lodz II	Draw	CK Troszyn
Our model	43%	24%	33%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CK Troszyn: 2-0-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Widzew Lodz II	CK Troszyn
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.2	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.3	3.8 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 12:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.10▼	Bet365 2.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.55 → 2.70▲	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:39 +24’	2.20	3.75	2.55
07:41 +2’	2.00▼	3.80▲	2.90▲
12:56 +2’	2.10▲	3.75▼	2.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Widzew Lodz II 0–0–2 CK Troszyn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Poland III Liga	Widzew Lodz II	0-2 HT 0-1	CK Troszyn
06/09/25 Poland III Liga	CK Troszyn	6-0 HT 1-0	Widzew Lodz II

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chelmianka Chelm	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Czarni Polaniec	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hetman Zamosc	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JKS Jaroslaw	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Korona Kielce II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	KSZO Ostrowiec	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Moravia Morawica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Naprzod Jedrzejow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Star Starachowice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wieczysta Krakow II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wisla Krakow II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wislanie Jaskowice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wisloka Debica	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Widzew Lodz II	CK Troszyn
Legia Warsaw II	3-0 W	0-2 L
Olimpia Elblag	3-0 W	2-1 W
Jagiellonia Bialystok II	4-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Widzew Lodz II (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Widzew Lodz II

WWWWWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/07	Wisloka Debica Europe Friendlies	2-1	5-2	1	2	W
11/07	Banik Ostrava B Europe Friendlies	0-2	1-4	1	2	L
30/05	Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	13	8	W
21/05	Legia Warsaw II Poland III Liga	2-0	3-0	7	4	W
17/05	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
13/05	GKS Belchatow Poland III Liga	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
10/05	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
30/04	Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
25/04	Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga	2-1	4-1	5	5	W
19/04	KS Wasilkow Poland III Liga	3-0	4-1	4	3	W

CK Troszyn

WWLWDWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/07	KTS Weszlo Club Friendly List	1-1	2-6	–	–	L
30/05	GKS Wikielec Poland III Liga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
23/05	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
17/05	Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
13/05	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-1	4-1	7	2	W
08/05	Bron Radom Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
30/04	Znicz Biala Piska Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	5	1	W
25/04	Legia Warsaw II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
18/04	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
10/04	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	2-1	2-1	7	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Widzew Lodz II vs CK Troszyn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Widzew Lodz II win (43%). Probabilities: Widzew Lodz II 43%, draw 24%, CK Troszyn 33%.

How many goals are expected in Widzew Lodz II vs CK Troszyn?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Widzew Lodz II 1.84 · CK Troszyn 1.61), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Widzew Lodz II vs CK Troszyn?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.