Football · Poland III Liga · 31/10, 12:00

Prediction: LKS Lodz II vs Olimpia Zambrow

Team pages: LKS Lodz II · Olimpia Zambrow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

LKS Lodz II1.94

Olimpia Zambrow2.04

1X2

36% 23% 40%

LKS Lodz II Draw Olimpia Zambrow

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

LKS Lodz II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDWDWLDL

Olimpia Zambrow 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDDLWWWD

Head-to-head

LKS Lodz II 2–0 Olimpia Zambrow (2 last)

Olimpia Zambrow1-3LKS Lodz II
LKS Lodz II6-0Olimpia Zambrow

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LKS Lodz II 1514 · Olimpia Zambrow 1515

	LKS Lodz II	Draw	Olimpia Zambrow
Our model	37%	22%	41%
Market	36%	24%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours LKS Lodz II: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LKS Lodz II	Olimpia Zambrow
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2.1	2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.5	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.8	2.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.75

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:02 +19’	2.50	3.75	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · LKS Lodz II 2–0–0 Olimpia Zambrow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/23 Poland III Liga	Olimpia Zambrow	1-3 HT 1-2	LKS Lodz II
19/11/22 Poland III Liga	LKS Lodz II	6-0 HT 1-0	Olimpia Zambrow

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	14	10	4	0	22	6	34
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	14	8	5	1	26	11	29
3	Wisloka Debica	14	8	2	4	21	16	26
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	14	7	3	4	30	27	24
6	Czarni Polaniec	14	7	3	4	20	18	24
7	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26	22	23
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22	21	20
9	Wisla Krakow II	14	5	4	5	18	19	19
10	JKS Jaroslaw	14	5	2	7	29	26	17
11	Star Starachowice	14	4	5	5	20	21	17
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	14	3	7	4	14	15	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	14	4	4	6	14	17	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20	32	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	14	3	4	7	11	20	13
17	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	14	3	2	9	14	26	11
18	Moravia Morawica	14	2	3	9	15	26	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LKS Lodz II	Olimpia Zambrow
Wisla Plock II	2-2 D	4-3 W
Mlawianka Mlawa	2-0 W	1-1 D
LKS Lomza	4-3 W	2-0 W
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki	3-4 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia Zambrow (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LKS Lodz II

LWWDWDWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga	0-2	0-3	11	5	L
17/10	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
14/10	Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga	0-3	0-3	6	5	L
10/10	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	2-1	7-2	6	1	W
26/09	CK Troszyn Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	3	5	W
12/09	Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga	2-1	2-2	8	7	D
06/09	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
30/08	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	1-3	4-3	9	3	W
23/08	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-2	3-4	9	5	L

Olimpia Zambrow

WLLDDLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
17/10	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
11/10	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	2-0	3-0	10	4	W
03/10	KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga	2-0	3-1	4	6	W
26/09	Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga	0-1	1-3	9	7	L
19/09	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
12/09	Wigry Suwalki Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
05/09	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-2	0-5	0	2	L
30/08	Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga	1-2	3-4	3	3	L
23/08	Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga	2-1	4-3	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LKS Lodz II vs Olimpia Zambrow?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Olimpia Zambrow win (40%). Probabilities: LKS Lodz II 36%, draw 23%, Olimpia Zambrow 40%.

How many goals are expected in LKS Lodz II vs Olimpia Zambrow?

The model expects 3.98 goals (LKS Lodz II 1.94 · Olimpia Zambrow 2.04), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in LKS Lodz II vs Olimpia Zambrow?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.