Prediction: Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzow
Team pages: Zaglebie Sosnowiec · Warta Gorzow
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | Draw | Warta Gorzow | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 22% | 13% |
| Market | 68% | 17% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zaglebie Sosnowiec (rating 1585 vs 1426).
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | Warta Gorzow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 7.1 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0 |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 40 |
| 2 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Czarni Polaniec | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 28 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 27 |
| 6 | Hetman Zamosc | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 26 |
| 7 | Wisla Krakow II | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 25 |
| 8 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18 | 24 |
| 9 | Star Starachowice | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 24 | 23 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 23 |
| 11 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | JKS Jaroslaw | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 18 |
| 13 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 16 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 37 | 15 |
| 15 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 35 | 14 |
| 16 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 13 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 29 | 12 |
| 18 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 32 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | Warta Gorzow |
|---|---|---|
| KS Stilon Gorzow | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Miedz Legnica II | 3-1 W | 0-6 L |
| Zaglebie Lubin II | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Rakow Czestochowa II | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| MKS Kluczbork | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Polonia Nysa | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Sparta Katowice | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Zaglebie Sosnowiec (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/10 | Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 17 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 14/10 | Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 18/09 | Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Warta Gorzow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 24/10 | MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/10 | Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 03/10 | Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/08 | Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win (67%). Probabilities: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 67%, draw 19%, Warta Gorzow 14%.
How many goals are expected in Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzow?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2.06 · Warta Gorzow 0.81), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzow?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.