Football · Poland III Liga · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: Zabkovia Zabki vs MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

Team pages: Zabkovia Zabki · MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.81Total

Zabkovia Zabki2.12

MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki1.68

1X2

47% 22% 30%

Zabkovia Zabki Draw MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Zabkovia Zabki 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLDWDD

MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Zabkovia Zabki 1–1–0 MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki (2 last)

MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki3-3Zabkovia Zabki
Zabkovia Zabki5-1MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zabkovia Zabki	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.4	2.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.1 / 8	2.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.91

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:33

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.11 → 2.11	Pinn 2.11
X	3.56 → 3.56	Pinn 3.56
2	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:14 +20’	2.11	3.56	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zabkovia Zabki 1–1–0 MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Poland III Liga	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki	3-3 HT 1-0	Zabkovia Zabki
27/09/25 Poland III Liga	Zabkovia Zabki	5-1 HT 2-0	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	14	10	4	0	22	6	34
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	14	8	5	1	26	11	29
3	Wisloka Debica	14	8	2	4	21	16	26
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	14	7	3	4	30	27	24
6	Czarni Polaniec	14	7	3	4	20	18	24
7	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26	22	23
8	Wisla Krakow II	15	6	4	5	20	20	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22	21	20
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	JKS Jaroslaw	14	5	2	7	29	26	17
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	14	3	7	4	14	15	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15	19	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20	32	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11	24	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19	26	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17	30	11

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zabkovia Zabki	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki
CK Troszyn	1-1 D	3-0 W
LKS Lodz II	3-0 W	2-7 L
Jagiellonia Bialystok II	2-2 D	3-1 W
Mlawianka Mlawa	3-4 L	4-2 W
LKS Lomza	2-0 W	4-0 W
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki	4-2 W	2-1 W
KTS Weszlo	0-2 L	0-1 L
Pelikan Lowicz	2-1 W	1-4 L
Warta Sieradz	4-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zabkovia Zabki

WWLWWLDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga	2-2	2-2	8	7	D
18/10	CK Troszyn Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
14/10	LKS Lodz II Poland III Liga	3-0	3-0	9	5	W
10/10	Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
25/09	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	0-3	3-4	6	5	L
18/09	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	10	6	W
11/09	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	3-0	4-2	6	6	W
05/09	KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
29/08	Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	8	7	W
22/08	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	0-0	4-0	12	2	W

MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

DWLLWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	CK Troszyn Poland III Liga	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
18/10	Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
10/10	LKS Lodz II Poland III Liga	1-2	2-7	7	1	L
03/10	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
25/09	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	2-0	4-0	7	3	W
18/09	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	2-0	2-1	2	7	W
12/09	KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
04/09	Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga	0-1	1-4	6	5	L
29/08	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
23/08	Wigry Suwalki Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zabkovia Zabki vs MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zabkovia Zabki win (47%). Probabilities: Zabkovia Zabki 47%, draw 22%, MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki 30%.

How many goals are expected in Zabkovia Zabki vs MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki?

The model expects 3.81 goals (Zabkovia Zabki 2.12 · MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki 1.68), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Zabkovia Zabki vs MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.