Football · Poland III Liga · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: LKS Lomza vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

Team pages: LKS Lomza · Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

LKS Lomza1.58

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki1.83

1X2

33% 24% 43%

LKS Lomza Draw Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

LKS Lomza 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

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Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (rating 1408 vs 1501).
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LKS Lomza	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.2	2.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	4.1 / 8.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.83

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:33

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.57 → 3.57	Pinn 3.57
X	4.47 → 4.47	Pinn 4.47
2	1.62 → 1.62	Pinn 1.62

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:30 +3’	3.57	4.47	1.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	14	10	4	0	22	6	34
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	14	8	5	1	26	11	29
3	Wisloka Debica	14	8	2	4	21	16	26
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	14	7	3	4	30	27	24
6	Czarni Polaniec	14	7	3	4	20	18	24
7	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26	22	23
8	Wisla Krakow II	15	6	4	5	20	20	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22	21	20
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	JKS Jaroslaw	14	5	2	7	29	26	17
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	14	3	7	4	14	15	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15	19	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20	32	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11	24	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19	26	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17	30	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LKS Lomza	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Widzew Lodz II	2-2 D	3-2 W
Olimpia Zambrow	0-2 L	5-0 W
Polonia Lidzbark	2-3 L	2-2 D
Olimpia Elblag	0-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LKS Lomza

DLLDLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga	2-0	2-2	7	1	D
17/10	Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
10/10	Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
03/10	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
25/09	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
18/09	Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
12/09	CK Troszyn Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
30/08	LKS Lodz II Poland III Liga	3-1	3-4	6	3	L
22/08	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	2-0	3-1	4	6	W
18/10	KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga	0-2	2-3	10	4	L
10/10	Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga	1-2	1-4	8	4	L
03/10	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	10	5	D
26/09	Wigry Suwalki Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	11	3	L
19/09	Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	4	5	W
11/09	Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga	0-1	3-2	9	2	W
05/09	Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga	2-0	5-0	17	2	W
29/08	Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	1-0	2-2	2	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LKS Lomza vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win (43%). Probabilities: LKS Lomza 33%, draw 24%, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 43%.

How many goals are expected in LKS Lomza vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?

The model expects 3.41 goals (LKS Lomza 1.58 · Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 1.83), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in LKS Lomza vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.