Football · Poland III Liga · 31/10, 12:00

Prediction: Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwalki

Team pages: Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki · Wigry Suwalki

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki1.41

Wigry Suwalki2.05

1X2

25% 23% 52%

Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Draw Wigry Suwalki

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLLWLLDL

Wigry Suwalki 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWLDWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki 0–4 Wigry Suwalki (4 last)

Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki1-3Wigry Suwalki
Wigry Suwalki3-0Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Wigry Suwalki1-0Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki1-2Wigry Suwalki

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wigry Suwalki (rating 1430 vs 1582).
H2H favours Wigry Suwalki: 4-0-0.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki	Wigry Suwalki
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.2	2.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.1	2.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.96

Under 3.251.76

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.47 → 3.47	Pinn 3.47
X	3.65 → 3.65	Pinn 3.65
2	1.79 → 1.79	Pinn 1.79

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
01:11 +75’	3.47	3.65	1.79

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki 0–0–4 Wigry Suwalki

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Poland III Liga	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki	1-3 HT 1-2	Wigry Suwalki
12/10/25 Poland III Liga	Wigry Suwalki	3-0 HT 1-0	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
25/05/25 Poland III Liga	Wigry Suwalki	1-0 HT 0-0	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
03/11/24 Poland III Liga	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki	1-2 HT 1-0	Wigry Suwalki

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	14	10	4	0	22	6	34
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	14	8	5	1	26	11	29
3	Wisloka Debica	14	8	2	4	21	16	26
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	14	7	3	4	30	27	24
6	Czarni Polaniec	14	7	3	4	20	18	24
7	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26	22	23
8	Wisla Krakow II	15	6	4	5	20	20	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22	21	20
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	JKS Jaroslaw	14	5	2	7	29	26	17
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	14	3	7	4	14	15	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15	19	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20	32	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11	24	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19	26	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17	30	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki	Wigry Suwalki
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	1-3 L	2-0 W
Widzew Lodz II	1-1 D	6-3 W
Olimpia Zambrow	0-3 L	1-1 D
Polonia Lidzbark	1-2 L	1-3 L
Olimpia Elblag	2-1 W	3-1 W
MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Wigry Suwalki (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

WDLLLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-2	1-3	4	6	L
18/10	Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
11/10	Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga	0-2	0-3	5	4	L
03/10	Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
26/09	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
18/09	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-2	1-2	11	7	L
11/09	Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga	0-3	2-4	11	6	L
05/09	CK Troszyn Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
29/08	Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	7	1	D
23/08	LKS Lodz II Poland III Liga	2-0	4-3	2	5	W

Wigry Suwalki

DWLDWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga	2-0	4-1	8	2	W
17/10	Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga	1-1	4-1	8	5	W
09/10	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	3-1	3-1	4	5	W
03/10	Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
26/09	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
20/09	Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga	3-2	6-3	–	–	W
12/09	Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
06/09	Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga	1-1	1-3	8	1	L
29/08	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	0-1	3-1	6	3	W
23/08	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwalki?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wigry Suwalki win (52%). Probabilities: Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki 25%, draw 23%, Wigry Suwalki 52%.

How many goals are expected in Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwalki?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki 1.41 · Wigry Suwalki 2.05), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwalki?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.