Football · Poland III Liga · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: Stal Brzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin II

Team pages: Stal Brzeg · Zaglebie Lubin II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Stal Brzeg1.5

Zaglebie Lubin II1.66

1X2

34% 26% 41%

Stal Brzeg Draw Zaglebie Lubin II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Stal Brzeg 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLDWL

Zaglebie Lubin II 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWDDDLW

Head-to-head

Stal Brzeg 1–1–4 Zaglebie Lubin II (6 last)

Zaglebie Lubin II3-2Stal Brzeg
Stal Brzeg1-2Zaglebie Lubin II
Zaglebie Lubin II1-0Stal Brzeg
Zaglebie Lubin II2-1Stal Brzeg
Stal Brzeg1-0Zaglebie Lubin II
Zaglebie Lubin II1-1Stal Brzeg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zaglebie Lubin II (rating 1464 vs 1543).
H2H favours Zaglebie Lubin II: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stal Brzeg	Zaglebie Lubin II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6.3	1.8 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.83

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:33

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.47 → 2.47	Pinn 2.47
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.30
2	2.44 → 2.44	Pinn 2.44

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:14 +20’	2.47	3.30	2.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stal Brzeg 1–1–4 Zaglebie Lubin II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/06/22 Poland III Liga	Zaglebie Lubin II	3-2 HT 2-0	Stal Brzeg
06/11/21 Poland III Liga	Stal Brzeg	1-2 HT 1-2	Zaglebie Lubin II
12/06/21 Poland III Liga	Zaglebie Lubin II	1-0 HT 0-0	Stal Brzeg
06/02/21 Europe Friendlies	Zaglebie Lubin II	2-1 HT 1-0	Stal Brzeg
21/11/20 Poland III Liga	Stal Brzeg	1-0 HT 0-0	Zaglebie Lubin II
26/10/19 Poland III Liga	Zaglebie Lubin II	1-1 HT 0-0	Stal Brzeg

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	14	10	4	0	22	6	34
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	14	8	5	1	26	11	29
3	Wisloka Debica	14	8	2	4	21	16	26
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	14	7	3	4	30	27	24
6	Czarni Polaniec	14	7	3	4	20	18	24
7	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26	22	23
8	Wisla Krakow II	15	6	4	5	20	20	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22	21	20
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	JKS Jaroslaw	14	5	2	7	29	26	17
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	14	3	7	4	14	15	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15	19	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20	32	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11	24	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19	26	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17	30	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stal Brzeg	Zaglebie Lubin II
Odra Bytom Odrzanski	2-3 L	1-1 D
Gornik Polkowice	2-0 W	1-1 D
Barycz Sulow	1-1 D	3-3 D
Carina Gubin	0-1 L	3-0 W
ROW 1964 Rybnik	3-4 L	2-2 D
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	1-0 W	1-0 W
Warta Gorzow	0-1 L	2-0 W
Miedz Legnica II	2-4 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Zaglebie Lubin II (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stal Brzeg

WLLLWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	2-0	2-3	2	4	L
17/10	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
10/10	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
26/09	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	0-3	3-4	7	5	L
19/09	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	10	2	L
05/09	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	2-3	2-4	–	–	L
28/08	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
23/08	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W

Zaglebie Lubin II

WWWDWDDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	2-0	3-1	4	2	W
17/10	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
10/10	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
02/10	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
26/09	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	1-2	3-3	4	3	D
18/09	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
12/09	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
05/09	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
29/08	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
22/08	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	3-1	3-2	3	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stal Brzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Zaglebie Lubin II win (41%). Probabilities: Stal Brzeg 34%, draw 26%, Zaglebie Lubin II 41%.

How many goals are expected in Stal Brzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Stal Brzeg 1.5 · Zaglebie Lubin II 1.66), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Stal Brzeg vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.