Football · Poland III Liga · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Odra Bytom Odrzanski

Team pages: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj · Odra Bytom Odrzanski

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1.02

Odra Bytom Odrzanski1.38

1X2

27% 28% 44%

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Draw Odra Bytom Odrzanski

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLLDWL

Odra Bytom Odrzanski 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDWDWWLDDW

Head-to-head

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1–3–0 Odra Bytom Odrzanski (4 last)

Odra Bytom Odrzanski1-1LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1-1Odra Bytom Odrzanski
Odra Bytom Odrzanski1-1LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj2-0Odra Bytom Odrzanski

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1491 · Odra Bytom Odrzanski 1520

	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	Draw	Odra Bytom Odrzanski
Our model	27%	30%	44%
Market	28%	27%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	Odra Bytom Odrzanski
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	2.9 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.6	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.30

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.02

2 (-0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:45 +27’	3.25	3.30	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1–3–0 Odra Bytom Odrzanski

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/25 Poland III Liga	Odra Bytom Odrzanski	1-1 HT 0-0	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
31/08/24 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	1-1 HT 1-1	Odra Bytom Odrzanski
25/11/23 Poland III Liga	Odra Bytom Odrzanski	1-1 HT 1-1	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
05/08/23 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	2-0 HT 1-0	Odra Bytom Odrzanski

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	14	10	4	0	22	6	34
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	14	8	5	1	26	11	29
3	Wisloka Debica	14	8	2	4	21	16	26
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	14	7	3	4	30	27	24
6	Czarni Polaniec	14	7	3	4	20	18	24
7	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26	22	23
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22	21	20
9	Wisla Krakow II	14	5	4	5	18	19	19
10	JKS Jaroslaw	14	5	2	7	29	26	17
11	Star Starachowice	14	4	5	5	20	21	17
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	14	3	7	4	14	15	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	14	4	4	6	14	17	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20	32	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	14	3	4	7	11	20	13
17	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	14	3	2	9	14	26	11
18	Moravia Morawica	14	2	3	9	15	26	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	Odra Bytom Odrzanski
Gornik Polkowice	1-4 L	1-0 W
Barycz Sulow	3-1 W	1-0 W
Carina Gubin	0-0 D	1-1 D
ROW 1964 Rybnik	0-1 L	3-2 W
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	0-2 L	0-0 D
Warta Gorzow	4-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Odra Bytom Odrzanski (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

WDWLWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-2	1-4	1	3	L
17/10	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	8	9	W
10/10	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/10	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
26/09	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
19/09	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-0	4-1	2	6	W
12/09	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	0-3	0-5	10	2	L
05/09	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	2-0	3-0	1	8	W
29/08	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	4	9	D
22/08	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Odra Bytom Odrzanski

LDWDWWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	0-2	3-2	4	4	W
17/10	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
10/10	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
03/10	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
26/09	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
18/09	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	6	8	W
11/09	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	4	4	W
29/08	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	8	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Odra Bytom Odrzanski?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Odra Bytom Odrzanski win (44%). Probabilities: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 27%, draw 28%, Odra Bytom Odrzanski 44%.

How many goals are expected in LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Odra Bytom Odrzanski?

The model expects 2.4 goals (LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1.02 · Odra Bytom Odrzanski 1.38), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Odra Bytom Odrzanski?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.