Football · Poland III Liga · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: KS Stilon Gorzow vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Team pages: KS Stilon Gorzow · Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

KS Stilon Gorzow1.14

Zaglebie Sosnowiec1.54

1X2

27% 28% 45%

KS Stilon Gorzow Draw Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

KS Stilon Gorzow 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLDWWLDL

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWWW

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zaglebie Sosnowiec (rating 1474 vs 1588).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KS Stilon Gorzow	Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	1.5 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	1 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	2.9 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:33

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.24 → 4.24	Pinn 4.24
X	3.62 → 3.62	Pinn 3.62
2	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
02:19 +14’	4.24	3.62	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	14	10	4	0	22	6	34
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	14	8	5	1	26	11	29
3	Wisloka Debica	14	8	2	4	21	16	26
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	14	7	3	4	30	27	24
6	Czarni Polaniec	14	7	3	4	20	18	24
7	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26	22	23
8	Wisla Krakow II	15	6	4	5	20	20	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22	21	20
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	JKS Jaroslaw	14	5	2	7	29	26	17
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	14	3	7	4	14	15	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15	19	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20	32	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11	24	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19	26	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17	30	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KS Stilon Gorzow	Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Zaglebie Lubin II	1-3 L	1-0 W
Odra Bytom Odrzanski	0-0 D	1-0 W
Gornik Polkowice	1-4 L	2-1 W
Barycz Sulow	2-1 W	0-1 L
Carina Gubin	3-1 W	4-0 W
Miedz Legnica II	2-2 D	3-1 W
MKS Kluczbork	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Zaglebie Sosnowiec (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KS Stilon Gorzow

LDDLDWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	0-2	1-3	5	2	L
17/10	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/10	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-2	1-4	8	3	L
03/10	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
19/09	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	1-2	2-4	4	2	L
05/09	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
28/08	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	1	5	D
22/08	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	2	4	L

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

WLLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	3-0	3-1	17	4	W
17/10	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	8	7	W
14/10	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
10/10	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	6	3	W
03/10	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
18/09	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
12/09	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
22/08	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KS Stilon Gorzow vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Zaglebie Sosnowiec win (45%). Probabilities: KS Stilon Gorzow 27%, draw 28%, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 45%.

How many goals are expected in KS Stilon Gorzow vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

The model expects 2.68 goals (KS Stilon Gorzow 1.14 · Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1.54), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KS Stilon Gorzow vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.