Football · Poland III Liga · 30/10, 14:00

Prediction: Sleza Wroclaw vs Gornik Polkowice

Team pages: Sleza Wroclaw · Gornik Polkowice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Sleza Wroclaw1.66

Gornik Polkowice1.56

1X2

39% 25% 35%

Sleza Wroclaw Draw Gornik Polkowice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Sleza Wroclaw 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDWLLW

Gornik Polkowice 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLDWLW

Head-to-head

Sleza Wroclaw 2–1–3 Gornik Polkowice (6 last)

Gornik Polkowice2-1Sleza Wroclaw
Sleza Wroclaw0-5Gornik Polkowice
Gornik Polkowice2-2Sleza Wroclaw
Sleza Wroclaw2-0Gornik Polkowice
Gornik Polkowice1-3Sleza Wroclaw
Sleza Wroclaw2-3Gornik Polkowice

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gornik Polkowice (rating 1463 vs 1503).
H2H favours Gornik Polkowice: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sleza Wroclaw	Gornik Polkowice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.1	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.1	4.2 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.89

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:02

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.28 → 3.28	Pinn 3.28
X	3.52 → 3.52	Pinn 3.52
2	1.88 → 1.88	Pinn 1.88

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
03:11 +51’	3.28	3.52	1.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sleza Wroclaw 2–1–3 Gornik Polkowice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Poland III Liga	Gornik Polkowice	2-1 HT 1-1	Sleza Wroclaw
11/10/25 Poland III Liga	Sleza Wroclaw	0-5 HT 0-0	Gornik Polkowice
05/04/25 Poland III Liga	Gornik Polkowice	2-2 HT 1-2	Sleza Wroclaw
06/09/24 Poland III Liga	Sleza Wroclaw	2-0 HT 0-0	Gornik Polkowice
27/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Gornik Polkowice	1-3 HT 0-3	Sleza Wroclaw
02/03/24 Poland III Liga	Sleza Wroclaw	2-3 HT 1-1	Gornik Polkowice

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	14	10	4	0	22	6	34
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	14	8	5	1	26	11	29
3	Wisloka Debica	14	8	2	4	21	16	26
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	14	7	3	4	30	27	24
6	Czarni Polaniec	14	7	3	4	20	18	24
7	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26	22	23
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22	21	20
9	Wisla Krakow II	14	5	4	5	18	19	19
10	JKS Jaroslaw	14	5	2	7	29	26	17
11	Star Starachowice	14	4	5	5	20	21	17
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	14	3	7	4	14	15	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	14	4	4	6	14	17	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20	32	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	14	3	4	7	11	20	13
17	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	14	3	2	9	14	26	11
18	Moravia Morawica	14	2	3	9	15	26	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sleza Wroclaw	Gornik Polkowice
Barycz Sulow	2-1 W	1-2 L
Carina Gubin	1-3 L	2-1 W
ROW 1964 Rybnik	1-2 L	3-1 W
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sleza Wroclaw

LWLLLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
17/10	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
10/10	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
03/10	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
26/09	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
19/09	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	3-2	3-5	5	6	L
12/09	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
05/09	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	9	3	L
29/08	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-1	0-3	4	0	L

Gornik Polkowice

WWWLLLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	2-0	4-1	11	3	W
17/10	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
09/10	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	2-0	4-1	9	3	W
02/10	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	9	4	D
26/09	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	12	5	L
18/09	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
12/09	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	0-2	1-2	3	2	L
06/09	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
29/08	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	0-1	3-1	5	3	W
23/08	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	2-0	2-1	7	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sleza Wroclaw vs Gornik Polkowice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sleza Wroclaw win (39%). Probabilities: Sleza Wroclaw 39%, draw 25%, Gornik Polkowice 35%.

How many goals are expected in Sleza Wroclaw vs Gornik Polkowice?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Sleza Wroclaw 1.66 · Gornik Polkowice 1.56), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sleza Wroclaw vs Gornik Polkowice?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.