Football · Poland III Liga · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: Carina Gubin vs Miedz Legnica II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Carina Gubin1.55

Miedz Legnica II1.61

1X2

36% 26% 39%

Carina Gubin Draw Miedz Legnica II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Carina Gubin 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLLWDWWL

Miedz Legnica II 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Carina Gubin 3–1–2 Miedz Legnica II (6 last)

Miedz Legnica II3-1Carina Gubin
Carina Gubin3-2Miedz Legnica II
Carina Gubin3-1Miedz Legnica II
Miedz Legnica II2-1Carina Gubin
Carina Gubin2-0Miedz Legnica II
Miedz Legnica II0-0Carina Gubin

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miedz Legnica II (rating 1498 vs 1563).
H2H favours Carina Gubin: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Carina Gubin	Miedz Legnica II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	2.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5	3.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.92

Under 3.251.79

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.60▼	Pinn 2.60
X	3.52 → 3.52	Pinn 3.52
2	2.10 → 2.19▲	Pinn 2.19

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:55	2.75	3.52	2.10
07:17 +1’	2.60▼	3.52	2.19▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Carina Gubin 3–1–2 Miedz Legnica II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	3-1 HT 1-1	Carina Gubin
30/08/25 Poland III Liga	Carina Gubin	3-2 HT 2-1	Miedz Legnica II
29/03/25 Poland III Liga	Carina Gubin	3-1 HT 0-0	Miedz Legnica II
31/08/24 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	2-1 HT 1-1	Carina Gubin
10/06/23 Poland III Liga	Carina Gubin	2-0 HT 1-0	Miedz Legnica II
13/11/22 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	0-0 HT 0-0	Carina Gubin

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chelmianka Chelm	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Czarni Polaniec	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hetman Zamosc	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JKS Jaroslaw	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Korona Kielce II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	KSZO Ostrowiec	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Moravia Morawica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Naprzod Jedrzejow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Star Starachowice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wieczysta Krakow II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wisla Krakow II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wislanie Jaskowice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wisloka Debica	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Carina Gubin	Miedz Legnica II
LZS Starowice Dolne	2-0 W	2-1 W
Zaglebie Lubin II	4-1 W	3-1 W
MKS Kluczbork	1-1 D	3-1 W
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	2-1 W	2-1 W
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	2-3 L	1-1 D
Sleza Wroclaw	1-1 D	2-3 L
Lechia Zielona Góra	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Carina Gubin (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carina Gubin

DDLLLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/05	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
23/05	LZS Starowice Dolne Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/05	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	1-1	4-1	8	3	W
09/05	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
01/05	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
25/04	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
18/04	Slowianin Woliborz Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
14/04	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	2-1	2-3	5	4	L
10/04	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
04/04	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D

Miedz Legnica II

WWLDWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/05	LZS Starowice Dolne Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	8	7	W
22/05	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	6	8	W
16/05	Pniowek Pawlowice Slaskie Poland III Liga	5-0	6-0	4	3	W
13/05	Gornik Zabrze II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
08/05	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	1-1	2-3	7	3	L
01/05	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	2-0	2-0	8	2	W
25/04	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
18/04	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
11/04	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	1	7	W
04/04	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carina Gubin vs Miedz Legnica II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Miedz Legnica II win (39%). Probabilities: Carina Gubin 36%, draw 26%, Miedz Legnica II 39%.

How many goals are expected in Carina Gubin vs Miedz Legnica II?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Carina Gubin 1.55 · Miedz Legnica II 1.61), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Carina Gubin vs Miedz Legnica II?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.