Prediction: Sparta Katowice vs Barycz Sulow
Team pages: Sparta Katowice · Barycz Sulow
| Sparta Katowice | Draw | Barycz Sulow | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Market | 46% | 25% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sparta Katowice (rating 1571 vs 1488).
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sparta Katowice | Barycz Sulow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 7.8 | 1.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0 | 4.8 / 0.8 |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 6 | 34 |
| 2 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 16 | 24 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 27 | 24 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 24 |
| 7 | Hetman Zamosc | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 22 | 23 |
| 8 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 20 |
| 9 | Wisla Krakow II | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 19 |
| 10 | JKS Jaroslaw | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 17 |
| 11 | Star Starachowice | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 17 |
| 12 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 13 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 16 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 35 | 14 |
| 15 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 14 |
| 16 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 13 |
| 17 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 11 |
| 18 | Moravia Morawica | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sparta Katowice | Barycz Sulow |
|---|---|---|
| Carina Gubin | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| ROW 1964 Rybnik | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Sleza Wroclaw | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sparta Katowice (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sparta Katowice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Carina Gubin Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/10 | ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 13/09 | Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
Barycz Sulow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/10 | LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 10/10 | Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/10 | KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/09 | Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/08 | Carina Gubin Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sparta Katowice vs Barycz Sulow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sparta Katowice win (46%). Probabilities: Sparta Katowice 46%, draw 26%, Barycz Sulow 28%.
How many goals are expected in Sparta Katowice vs Barycz Sulow?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Sparta Katowice 1.58 · Barycz Sulow 1.2), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sparta Katowice vs Barycz Sulow?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.