Football · Poland III Liga · 30/10, 13:00

Prediction: Miedz Legnica II vs Warta Gorzow

Team pages: Miedz Legnica II · Warta Gorzow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Miedz Legnica II1.98

Warta Gorzow1.33

1X2

52% 24% 25%

Miedz Legnica II Draw Warta Gorzow

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Miedz Legnica II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWWLWWLL

Warta Gorzow 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLDWLDDLLL

Head-to-head

Miedz Legnica II 2–3–1 Warta Gorzow (6 last)

Miedz Legnica II2-0Warta Gorzow
Warta Gorzow1-0Miedz Legnica II
Miedz Legnica II2-2Warta Gorzow
Warta Gorzow1-2Miedz Legnica II
Miedz Legnica II2-2Warta Gorzow
Warta Gorzow1-1Miedz Legnica II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miedz Legnica II 1522 · Warta Gorzow 1442

	Miedz Legnica II	Draw	Warta Gorzow
Our model	52%	24%	25%
Market	52%	23%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miedz Legnica II (rating 1522 vs 1442).
H2H favours Miedz Legnica II: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Miedz Legnica II	Warta Gorzow
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.9	0.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.3	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.1	2.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	5.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.80

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
09:47 +21’	1.73	3.80	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Miedz Legnica II 2–3–1 Warta Gorzow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	2-0 HT 2-0	Warta Gorzow
11/10/25 Poland III Liga	Warta Gorzow	1-0 HT 1-0	Miedz Legnica II
25/04/25 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	2-2 HT 1-1	Warta Gorzow
28/09/24 Poland III Liga	Warta Gorzow	1-2 HT 0-1	Miedz Legnica II
11/03/23 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	2-2 HT 2-0	Warta Gorzow
12/08/22 Poland III Liga	Warta Gorzow	1-1 HT 1-1	Miedz Legnica II

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	14	10	4	0	22	6	34
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	14	8	5	1	26	11	29
3	Wisloka Debica	14	8	2	4	21	16	26
4	Naprzod Jedrzejow	14	7	3	4	30	27	24
5	Czarni Polaniec	14	7	3	4	20	18	24
6	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26	22	23
7	Wislanie Jaskowice	14	6	3	5	21	15	21
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22	21	20
9	Wisla Krakow II	14	5	4	5	18	19	19
10	JKS Jaroslaw	14	5	2	7	29	26	17
11	Star Starachowice	14	4	5	5	20	21	17
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	14	3	7	4	14	15	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	14	4	4	6	14	17	16
14	Korona Kielce II	14	4	2	8	28	33	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20	32	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	14	3	4	7	11	20	13
17	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	14	3	2	9	14	26	11
18	Moravia Morawica	14	2	3	9	15	26	9

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Miedz Legnica II	Warta Gorzow
MKS Kluczbork	0-2 L	0-2 L
Rakow Czestochowa II	2-1 W	2-3 L
Polonia Nysa	2-1 W	0-1 L
Sparta Katowice	0-2 L	1-1 D
Sleza Wroclaw	5-3 W	1-1 D
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	5-0 W	1-4 L
Stal Brzeg	4-2 W	1-0 W
KS Stilon Gorzow	2-2 D	1-1 D
Zaglebie Lubin II	2-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Miedz Legnica II (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miedz Legnica II

LDWWWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-3	1-3	5	4	L
17/10	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	6	7	L
10/10	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	10	5	W
02/10	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
26/09	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
19/09	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	2-3	5-3	10	6	W
12/09	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	3-0	5-0	5	2	W
05/09	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	3-2	4-2	–	–	W
28/08	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	8	5	D
22/08	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	1-3	2-3	3	7	L

Warta Gorzow

WLDWLDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
17/10	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	0-1	2-3	5	6	L
10/10	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	10	7	L
03/10	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
26/09	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
19/09	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-1	1-4	2	6	L
12/09	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
05/09	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
22/08	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	2	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miedz Legnica II vs Warta Gorzow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Miedz Legnica II win (52%). Probabilities: Miedz Legnica II 52%, draw 24%, Warta Gorzow 25%.

How many goals are expected in Miedz Legnica II vs Warta Gorzow?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Miedz Legnica II 1.98 · Warta Gorzow 1.33), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Miedz Legnica II vs Warta Gorzow?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.