Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 06/09, 13:30
Prediction: Hertha Berlin vs Magdeburg
Team pages: Hertha Berlin · Magdeburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
Hertha Berlin2.03
Magdeburg1.53
1X2
Hertha Berlin
Draw
Magdeburg
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Hertha Berlin
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Magdeburg
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hertha Berlin
2–1–3
Magdeburg
(6 last)
- Magdeburg1-0Hertha Berlin
- Hertha Berlin0-2Magdeburg
- Hertha Berlin1-1Magdeburg
- Magdeburg1-3Hertha Berlin
- Hertha Berlin3-2Magdeburg
- Magdeburg6-4Hertha Berlin
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hertha Berlin 1588 · Magdeburg 1615
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Magdeburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 23% | 28% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Magdeburg: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hertha Berlin | Magdeburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.5 | 2.4 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hertha Berlin 2–1–3 Magdeburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Germany Bundesliga II | Magdeburg | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Hertha Berlin |
| 07/12/25 Germany Bundesliga II | Hertha Berlin | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Magdeburg |
| 25/04/25 Germany Bundesliga II | Hertha Berlin | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Magdeburg |
| 29/11/24 Germany Bundesliga II | Magdeburg | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Hertha Berlin |
| 16/02/24 Germany Bundesliga II | Hertha Berlin | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Magdeburg |
| 02/09/23 Germany Bundesliga II | Magdeburg | 6-4 HT 2-3 | Hertha Berlin |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga II
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nurnberg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Hertha Berlin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Heidenheim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 6 |
| 5 | Magdeburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Greuther Furth | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 3 |
| 10 | Arminia Bielefeld | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Bochum | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Cottbus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 13 | Hannover 96 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | VfL Osnabruck | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | St Pauli | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 18 | Darmstadt | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hertha Berlin | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 5-3 W | 1-6 L |
| Bochum | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Holstein Kiel | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Kaiserslautern | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Magdeburg (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hertha Berlin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II |
2-2 | 5-3 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga II |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Bochum Germany Bundesliga II |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II |
1-0 | 1-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 11/04 | Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Magdeburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 15/08 | VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II |
0-4 | 1-6 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany Bundesliga II |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Paderborn Germany Bundesliga II |
2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Bochum Germany Bundesliga II |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hertha Berlin vs Magdeburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hertha Berlin win (48%). Probabilities: Hertha Berlin 48%, draw 25%, Magdeburg 28%.
How many goals are expected in Hertha Berlin vs Magdeburg?
The model expects 3.56 goals (Hertha Berlin 2.03 · Magdeburg 1.53), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hertha Berlin vs Magdeburg?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.