Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 05/09, 20:30

Prediction: Dynamo Dresden vs Bochum

Team pages: Dynamo Dresden · Bochum

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Dynamo Dresden1.61

Bochum1.3

1X2

44% 27% 30%

Dynamo Dresden Draw Bochum

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Dynamo Dresden 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLWLWL

Bochum 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDDWLWL

Head-to-head

Dynamo Dresden 3–2–1 Bochum (6 last)

Dynamo Dresden2-0Bochum
Bochum1-2Dynamo Dresden
Dynamo Dresden1-2Bochum
Bochum2-2Dynamo Dresden
Dynamo Dresden2-2Bochum
Bochum0-1Dynamo Dresden

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dynamo Dresden 1583 · Bochum 1528

	Dynamo Dresden	Draw	Bochum
Our model	44%	27%	30%
Market	44%	27%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dynamo Dresden (rating 1583 vs 1528).
H2H favours Dynamo Dresden: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dynamo Dresden	Bochum
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6	1.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.40

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.11
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.76 ★
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.24

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:23 +3’	2.10	3.40	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:31 +1’	2.11	3.77	3.24
12:27	2.11	3.76▼	3.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dynamo Dresden 3–2–1 Bochum

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Germany Bundesliga II	Dynamo Dresden	2-0 HT 1-0	Bochum
21/11/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Bochum	1-2 HT 0-2	Dynamo Dresden
22/02/20 Germany Bundesliga II	Dynamo Dresden	1-2 HT 0-0	Bochum
15/09/19 Germany Bundesliga II	Bochum	2-2 HT 0-0	Dynamo Dresden
03/03/19 Germany Bundesliga II	Dynamo Dresden	2-2 HT 1-2	Bochum
25/09/18 Germany Bundesliga II	Bochum	0-1 HT 0-1	Dynamo Dresden

Standings · Germany Bundesliga II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nurnberg	3	3	0	0	11	3	9
2	Hertha Berlin	3	3	0	0	10	4	9
3	Wolfsburg	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
4	Heidenheim	3	2	0	1	10	10	6
5	Magdeburg	3	2	0	1	6	6	6
6	Kaiserslautern	3	1	2	0	2	1	5
7	Greuther Furth	3	1	1	1	7	8	4
8	Karlsruher SC	3	1	1	1	4	6	4
9	Eintracht Braunschweig	3	1	0	2	9	7	3
10	Arminia Bielefeld	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
11	Bochum	3	1	0	2	1	2	3
12	Cottbus	3	1	0	2	6	8	3
13	Hannover 96	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
14	VfL Osnabruck	3	1	0	2	4	7	3
15	Dynamo Dresden	3	1	0	2	4	8	3
16	St Pauli	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
17	Holstein Kiel	3	0	2	1	4	6	2
18	Darmstadt	3	0	1	2	2	4	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dynamo Dresden	Bochum
Eintracht Braunschweig	1-2 L	1-0 W
Hertha Berlin	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bochum (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dynamo Dresden

LWWLWLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	3-5	9	5	L
16/08	Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
09/08	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	0-3	5	2	L
17/05	Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	2-1	3	5	W
09/05	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
02/05	Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
24/04	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	1-3	6	0	L
18/04	Bochum Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
11/04	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
04/04	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-1	6	5	L

Bochum

LWLWDDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
14/08	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
07/08	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
17/05	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
09/05	Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
02/05	Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-1	2	2	D
26/04	Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-1	5	1	W
18/04	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
12/04	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	4-1	2	7	W
04/04	Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	1-4	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dynamo Dresden vs Bochum?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dynamo Dresden win (44%). Probabilities: Dynamo Dresden 44%, draw 27%, Bochum 30%.

How many goals are expected in Dynamo Dresden vs Bochum?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Dynamo Dresden 1.61 · Bochum 1.3), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dynamo Dresden vs Bochum?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.