Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: Magdeburg vs Kaiserslautern

Team pages: Magdeburg · Kaiserslautern

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Magdeburg2

Kaiserslautern1.2

1X2

55% 24% 22%

Magdeburg Draw Kaiserslautern

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Magdeburg 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLWWL

Kaiserslautern 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWDDWW

Head-to-head

Magdeburg 3–1–2 Kaiserslautern (6 last)

Magdeburg0-1Kaiserslautern
Kaiserslautern2-3Magdeburg
Magdeburg2-0Kaiserslautern
Kaiserslautern2-2Magdeburg
Kaiserslautern4-1Magdeburg
Magdeburg4-1Kaiserslautern

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Magdeburg (rating 1593 vs 1529).
H2H favours Magdeburg: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Magdeburg	Kaiserslautern
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	0.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.4	1.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.86

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:58

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.21 → 2.16▼	Pinn 2.16
X	3.61 → 3.66▲	Pinn 3.66
2	3.03 → 3.21▲	Pinn 3.21

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:49 +131’	2.21	3.61	3.03
16:52 +126’	2.16▼	3.66▲	3.21▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Magdeburg 3–1–2 Kaiserslautern

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Germany Bundesliga II	Magdeburg	0-1 HT 0-0	Kaiserslautern
20/12/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Kaiserslautern	2-3 HT 0-2	Magdeburg
06/04/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Magdeburg	2-0 HT 2-0	Kaiserslautern
03/11/24 Germany Bundesliga II	Kaiserslautern	2-2 HT 1-2	Magdeburg
04/05/24 Germany Bundesliga II	Kaiserslautern	4-1 HT 2-0	Magdeburg
02/12/23 Germany Bundesliga II	Magdeburg	4-1 HT 1-1	Kaiserslautern

Standings · Germany Bundesliga II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	4	4	0	0	12	5	12
2	Nurnberg	4	3	1	0	13	5	10
3	Heidenheim	4	3	0	1	11	10	9
4	Wolfsburg	4	2	2	0	10	6	8
5	Kaiserslautern	4	2	2	0	5	1	8
6	Bochum	4	2	0	2	3	3	6
7	Magdeburg	4	2	0	2	7	8	6
7	VfL Osnabruck	4	2	0	2	7	8	6
9	Karlsruher SC	4	1	2	1	6	8	5
10	Arminia Bielefeld	4	1	1	2	7	8	4
11	Cottbus	4	1	1	2	10	12	4
12	Greuther Furth	4	1	1	2	7	9	4
13	Hannover 96	4	1	1	2	4	6	4
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	4	1	0	3	10	10	3
15	St Pauli	4	0	3	1	6	7	3
16	Holstein Kiel	4	0	3	1	6	8	3
17	Dynamo Dresden	4	1	0	3	5	10	3
18	Darmstadt	4	0	1	3	2	7	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Magdeburg	Kaiserslautern
Hertha Berlin	1-2 L	1-0 W
Holstein Kiel	2-0 W	0-3 L
Eintracht Braunschweig	1-6 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kaiserslautern (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Magdeburg

LWLWWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
30/08	Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	2-0	3	9	W
15/08	VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	3-0	10	2	W
08/08	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	0-4	1-6	5	6	L
17/05	Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
09/05	Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	3-1	6	4	W
03/05	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
26/04	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
18/04	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	2-0	7	4	W
12/04	Paderborn Germany Bundesliga II	2-3	3-4	7	3	L

Kaiserslautern

WLLLWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	3-0	9	5	W
30/08	St Pauli Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
15/08	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
08/08	Wolfsburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
17/05	Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
08/05	Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
02/05	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
24/04	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-2	12	3	L
17/04	Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II	0-3	0-3	0	3	L
11/04	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-0	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Magdeburg vs Kaiserslautern?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Magdeburg win (55%). Probabilities: Magdeburg 55%, draw 24%, Kaiserslautern 22%.

How many goals are expected in Magdeburg vs Kaiserslautern?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Magdeburg 2 · Kaiserslautern 1.2), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Magdeburg vs Kaiserslautern?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.