Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: Bochum vs Greuther Furth

Team pages: Bochum · Greuther Furth

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Bochum1.71

Greuther Furth0.93

1X2

55% 26% 19%

Bochum Draw Greuther Furth

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Bochum 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDDWLWLW

Greuther Furth 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWDLWL

Head-to-head

Bochum 6–0 Greuther Furth (6 last)

Greuther Furth1-2Bochum
Bochum2-1Greuther Furth
Greuther Furth0-3Bochum
Bochum2-1Greuther Furth
Greuther Furth0-1Bochum
Greuther Furth1-2Bochum

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bochum (rating 1560 vs 1498).
H2H favours Bochum: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bochum	Greuther Furth
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.1	1.9 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.01

Under 31.83

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.87 → 1.87	Pinn 1.87
X	3.88 → 3.88	Pinn 3.88
2	3.88 → 3.88	Pinn 3.88

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:44 +76’	1.87	3.88	3.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bochum 6–0–0 Greuther Furth

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Germany DFB Pokal	Greuther Furth	1-2 HT 0-1	Bochum
26/04/26 Germany Bundesliga II	Bochum	2-1 HT 1-0	Greuther Furth
29/11/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Greuther Furth	0-3 HT 0-3	Bochum
05/03/22 Germany Bundesliga I	Bochum	2-1 HT 1-0	Greuther Furth
16/10/21 Germany Bundesliga I	Greuther Furth	0-1 HT 0-0	Bochum
06/03/21 Germany Bundesliga II	Greuther Furth	1-2 HT 1-1	Bochum

Standings · Germany Bundesliga II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	4	4	0	0	12	5	12
2	Nurnberg	4	3	1	0	13	5	10
3	Heidenheim	4	3	0	1	11	10	9
4	Wolfsburg	4	2	2	0	10	6	8
5	Kaiserslautern	4	2	2	0	5	1	8
6	Bochum	4	2	0	2	3	3	6
7	Magdeburg	4	2	0	2	7	8	6
7	VfL Osnabruck	4	2	0	2	7	8	6
9	Karlsruher SC	4	1	2	1	6	8	5
10	Arminia Bielefeld	4	1	1	2	7	8	4
11	Cottbus	4	1	1	2	10	12	4
12	Greuther Furth	4	1	1	2	7	9	4
13	Hannover 96	4	1	1	2	4	6	4
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	4	1	0	3	10	10	3
15	St Pauli	4	0	3	1	6	7	3
16	Holstein Kiel	4	0	3	1	6	8	3
17	Dynamo Dresden	4	1	0	3	5	10	3
18	Darmstadt	4	0	1	3	2	7	1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bochum

WLWDDWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	2-1	2-1	4	8	W
28/08	VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
14/08	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
07/08	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
17/05	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
09/05	Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
02/05	Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-1	2	2	D
26/04	Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-1	5	1	W
18/04	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
12/04	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	4-1	2	7	W

Greuther Furth

DWLDLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
29/08	Cottbus Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	4-3	6	4	W
15/08	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	2-2	2-4	5	5	L
09/08	St Pauli Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
17/05	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany Bundesliga II	3-0	3-0	2	7	W
10/05	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-2	18	4	L
03/05	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
26/04	Bochum Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
19/04	Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	3-2	5	4	W
11/04	SC Preussen Munster Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-0	4	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bochum vs Greuther Furth?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bochum win (55%). Probabilities: Bochum 55%, draw 26%, Greuther Furth 19%.

How many goals are expected in Bochum vs Greuther Furth?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Bochum 1.71 · Greuther Furth 0.93), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bochum vs Greuther Furth?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.