Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 31/07, 00:00

Prediction: CA Talleres de Córdoba vs Velez Sarsfield

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.94Total

CA Talleres de Córdoba1.14

Velez Sarsfield0.8

1X2

42% 33% 25%

CA Talleres de Córdoba Draw Velez Sarsfield

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

CA Talleres de Córdoba 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWDDLL

Velez Sarsfield 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWDDWDLW

Head-to-head

CA Talleres de Córdoba 2–1–3 Velez Sarsfield (6 last)

Velez Sarsfield2-1CA Talleres de Córdoba
Velez Sarsfield0-1CA Talleres de Córdoba
CA Talleres de Córdoba0-1Velez Sarsfield

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Talleres de Córdoba 1504 · Velez Sarsfield 1506

	CA Talleres de Córdoba	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
Our model	42%	33%	24%
Market	43%	33%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 1.94 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Velez Sarsfield: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Talleres de Córdoba	Velez Sarsfield
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.8	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.1	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.4	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.4	5.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X2.88

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.39 ★
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.6% Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +6’	2.20	2.88	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:36	2.37	2.69	3.73
23:32	2.39▲	2.72▲	3.78▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Talleres de Córdoba 2–1–3 Velez Sarsfield

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/01/26 Argentina Liga Profesional	Velez Sarsfield	2-1 HT 0-1	CA Talleres de Córdoba
01/11/25 Argentina Liga Profesional	Velez Sarsfield	0-1 HT 0-0	CA Talleres de Córdoba
19/04/25 Argentina Liga Profesional	CA Talleres de Córdoba	0-1 HT 0-0	Velez Sarsfield
22/07/24 Argentina Liga Profesional	Velez Sarsfield	3-0 HT 1-0	CA Talleres de Córdoba
31/03/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional	CA Talleres de Córdoba	1-0 HT 1-0	Velez Sarsfield
05/11/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional	Velez Sarsfield	1-1 HT 1-1	CA Talleres de Córdoba

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gimnasia Mendoza	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
1	Velez Sarsfield	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
3	Platense	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
3	Union Santa Fe	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
5	Defensa y Justicia	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
6	Boca Juniors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	CA Independiente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Lanus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	San Lorenzo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	CA Talleres de Córdoba	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Deportivo Riestra	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Estudiantes LP	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Newell's	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Central Cordoba	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
14	Instituto AC Cordoba	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Talleres de Córdoba	Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe	1-1 D	2-2 D
Instituto AC Cordoba	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CA Talleres de Córdoba (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CA Talleres de Córdoba

WDWLWWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/05	Atlético Tucumán Argentina Cup	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
09/05	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-1	8	9	L
02/05	Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-1	0	8	D
25/04	Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
20/04	Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
13/04	Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
03/04	Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
22/03	CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
15/03	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
12/03	Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-0	1	9	W

Velez Sarsfield

LLWWDDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
11/05	Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-1	17	8	L
05/05	Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
01/05	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Cup	1-0	2-0	7	7	W
27/04	Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional	2-1	2-2	2	10	D
21/04	San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
14/04	Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
07/04	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Cup	3-0	4-1	2	4	W
03/04	Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional	2-1	2-3	0	4	L
21/03	Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-1	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Talleres de Córdoba vs Velez Sarsfield?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Talleres de Córdoba win (42%). Probabilities: CA Talleres de Córdoba 42%, draw 33%, Velez Sarsfield 25%.

How many goals are expected in CA Talleres de Córdoba vs Velez Sarsfield?

The model expects 1.94 goals (CA Talleres de Córdoba 1.14 · Velez Sarsfield 0.8), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Talleres de Córdoba vs Velez Sarsfield?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.