Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 31/07, 02:15
Prediction: Central Cordoba vs Atlético Tucumán
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Central Cordoba1
Atlético Tucumán1.01
1X2
Central Cordoba
Draw
Atlético Tucumán
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Central Cordoba
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Atlético Tucumán
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Central Cordoba
1–4–1
Atlético Tucumán
(6 last)
- Atlético Tucumán0-0Central Cordoba
- Atlético Tucumán1-1Central Cordoba
- Central Cordoba2-0Atlético Tucumán
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Central Cordoba 1451 · Atlético Tucumán 1518
| Central Cordoba | Draw | Atlético Tucumán | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 33% | 34% |
| Market | 34% | 32% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.01 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atlético Tucumán (rating 1451 vs 1518).
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Cordoba | Atlético Tucumán | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.9 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Cordoba 1–4–1 Atlético Tucumán
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 19/07/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 31/01/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Central Cordoba | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 17/12/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 27/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Central Cordoba | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 03/10/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Huracan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Aldosivi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Atlético Tucumán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | River Plate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | CA Tigre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Independiente Rivadavia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Sarmiento | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Gimnasia LP | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Banfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/04 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/04 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/03 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/03 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/03 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 01/03 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
Atlético Tucumán
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 12/04 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/03 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 16/03 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 12/03 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Central Cordoba vs Atlético Tucumán?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atlético Tucumán win (34%). Probabilities: Central Cordoba 33%, draw 33%, Atlético Tucumán 34%.
How many goals are expected in Central Cordoba vs Atlético Tucumán?
The model expects 2.01 goals (Central Cordoba 1 · Atlético Tucumán 1.01), with a 54% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Central Cordoba vs Atlético Tucumán?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.