Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 31/07, 00:00
Prediction: Independiente Rivadavia vs Huracan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
Independiente Rivadavia1.2
Huracan0.9
1X2
Independiente Rivadavia
Draw
Huracan
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Independiente Rivadavia
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Huracan
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Independiente Rivadavia
3–1–2
Huracan
(6 last)
- Huracan1-2Independiente Rivadavia
- Independiente Rivadavia0-0Huracan
- Huracan2-0Independiente Rivadavia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Independiente Rivadavia 1590 · Huracan 1519
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Huracan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Market | 42% | 33% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.1 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente Rivadavia (rating 1590 vs 1519).
- H2H favours Independiente Rivadavia: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Rivadavia | Huracan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 1.6 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Rivadavia 3–1–2 Huracan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Huracan | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 29/09/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Independiente Rivadavia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Huracan |
| 16/03/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Huracan | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 15/06/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Huracan | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 04/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Independiente Rivadavia | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Huracan |
| 02/07/15 Argentina Cup | Huracan | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Independiente Rivadavia |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Huracan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Aldosivi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Atlético Tucumán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | River Plate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | CA Tigre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Independiente Rivadavia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Sarmiento | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Gimnasia LP | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Banfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Independiente Rivadavia | Huracan |
|---|---|---|
| CA Tigre | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Banfield | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Rivadavia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | CA Tigre Argentina Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 28/05 | Bolivar Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Copa Libertadores |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 07/05 | Fluminense Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 01/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Copa Libertadores |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 5-1 | 11 | 9 | W |
| 20/04 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/04 | Fluminense Copa Libertadores |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
Huracan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/06 | Barracas Central Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 28/04 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/04 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Rivadavia vs Huracan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Rivadavia win (42%). Probabilities: Independiente Rivadavia 42%, draw 32%, Huracan 26%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Rivadavia vs Huracan?
The model expects 2.1 goals (Independiente Rivadavia 1.2 · Huracan 0.9), with a 54% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Rivadavia vs Huracan?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.