Football · France Ligue 3 · 20/08, 20:45

Prediction: La Roche VF vs Cannes

Team pages: La Roche VF · Cannes

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
La Roche VF1.4
Cannes1.35
1X2
37% 29% 35%
La Roche VF Draw Cannes
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
La Roche VF 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
DDWWWDWWWW
Cannes 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLWWWLWDDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · La Roche VF 1590 · Cannes 1539
La Roche VFDrawCannes
Our model37%28%35%
Market37%29%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours La Roche VF (rating 1590 vs 1539).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

La Roche VFCannes
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 0.71.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.30.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.72.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.12.8 / 0.3

Standings · France Ligue 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Thionville FC 2200 736
2 La Roche VF 2200 426
3 Rouen 2110 214
4 Caen 2101 743
5 Villefranche 2101 433
6 Le Puy 2101 213
7 Versailles 78 2101 333
8 Bourg-Peronnas 2101 343
9 Valenciennes 2101 243
10 US Orleans 45 2101 323
11 Paris 13 Atletico 2101 123
11 SC Bastia 2101 123
13 Cannes 2020 112
13 FC Fleury 91 2020 112
15 US Quevilly 2011 121
16 Concarneau 2011 131
17 Amiens 2011 011
18 Aubagne Air Bel 2002 040

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

La Roche VF

DDWWWDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Amiens
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-0 47 W
07/08 Versailles 78
France Ligue 3
1-1 3-2 45 W
29/07 Vendee Fontenay
Club Friendly List
3-0 4-0 W
25/07 St Pryve St Hilaire
Europe Friendlies
0-1 2-1 46 W
22/07 Nantes
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-1 21 D
18/07 Le Mans
Europe Friendlies
3-1 3-2 11 W
16/05 Locmine Saint-Colomban
France National 2
1-0 2-0 W
09/05 FC Chauray
France National 2
2-0 4-1 73 W
02/05 Granville
France National 2
0-0 0-0 44 D
25/04 Stade Poitevin
France National 2
0-0 0-0 D

Cannes

WLWWWLWDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 72 D
07/08 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 23 D
26/07 Roma
Elite Club Friendlies
0-2 3-3 54 D
22/07 Montpellier
Europe Friendlies
2-2 4-3 43 W
17/07 Rodez Aveyron
Club Friendly List
0-2 1-4 L
16/05 US Lusitanos Saint-Maur
France National 2
0-0 2-0 25 W
09/05 Rousset-Ste Victoire
France National 2
1-0 3-1 90 W
01/05 GOAL FC
France National 2
1-1 2-1 43 W
25/04 Nimes
France National 2
0-3 0-3 L
17/04 Creteil
France National 2
1-0 3-0 74 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in La Roche VF vs Cannes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a La Roche VF win (37%). Probabilities: La Roche VF 37%, draw 29%, Cannes 35%.

How many goals are expected in La Roche VF vs Cannes?

The model expects 2.75 goals (La Roche VF 1.4 · Cannes 1.35), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in La Roche VF vs Cannes?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.