Prediction: La Roche VF vs Bourg-Peronnas
Team pages: La Roche VF · Bourg-Peronnas
| La Roche VF | Draw | Bourg-Peronnas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 25% | 17% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours La Roche VF (rating 1555 vs 1417).
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| La Roche VF | Bourg-Peronnas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 0.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 5.3 | 1.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.7 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | La Roche VF | Bourg-Peronnas |
|---|---|---|
| Caen | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Aubagne Air Bel | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Thionville FC | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Valenciennes | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Villefranche | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: La Roche VF (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
La Roche VF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 26/09 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 19/09 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | D |
| 05/09 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/08 | Amiens France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/08 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Bourg-Peronnas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 03/10 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 20/08 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in La Roche VF vs Bourg-Peronnas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a La Roche VF win (59%). Probabilities: La Roche VF 59%, draw 24%, Bourg-Peronnas 17%.
How many goals are expected in La Roche VF vs Bourg-Peronnas?
The model expects 2.65 goals (La Roche VF 1.79 · Bourg-Peronnas 0.86), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in La Roche VF vs Bourg-Peronnas?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.