Football · France Ligue 3 · 31/10, 14:45

Prediction: Cannes vs Valenciennes

Team pages: Cannes · Valenciennes

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Cannes1.41
Valenciennes0.89
1X2
48% 29% 23%
Cannes Draw Valenciennes
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Cannes 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
DDDWWDDDWL
Valenciennes 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LWLDDLLWLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cannes 1529 · Valenciennes 1468
CannesDrawValenciennes
Our model48%30%22%
Market48%29%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cannes (rating 1529 vs 1468).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CannesValenciennes
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.61 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 6.21.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.34.8 / 0.4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCannesValenciennes
Amiens 0-0 D 1-1 D
Versailles 78 3-0 W 0-1 L
Le Puy 2-0 W 2-1 W
La Roche VF 1-1 D 2-3 L
FC Fleury 91 1-1 D 1-2 L
Rouen 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 4 D 0 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cannes (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cannes

DDDWWDDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
0-2 1-2 56 L
03/10 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
1-1 3-1 114 W
26/09 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 74 D
17/09 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
1-1 1-1 –– D
10/09 Amiens
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 45 D
05/09 Versailles 78
France Ligue 3
1-0 3-0 23 W
29/08 Le Puy
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-0 82 W
20/08 La Roche VF
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 –– D
14/08 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 –– D
07/08 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 –– D

Valenciennes

LWLDDLLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Amiens
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 55 D
03/10 Versailles 78
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 28 L
26/09 Le Puy
France Ligue 3
1-1 2-1 54 W
19/09 La Roche VF
France Ligue 3
1-1 2-3 45 L
12/09 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-2 48 L
04/09 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 46 D
29/08 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 33 D
20/08 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-2 64 L
14/08 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-0 44 W
07/08 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-4 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cannes vs Valenciennes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cannes win (48%). Probabilities: Cannes 48%, draw 29%, Valenciennes 23%.

How many goals are expected in Cannes vs Valenciennes?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Cannes 1.41 · Valenciennes 0.89), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cannes vs Valenciennes?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.