Football · France Ligue 3 · 31/10, 14:45

Prediction: Versailles 78 vs Aubagne Air Bel

Team pages: Versailles 78 · Aubagne Air Bel

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Versailles 781.7
Aubagne Air Bel0.79
1X2
58% 26% 16%
Versailles 78 Draw Aubagne Air Bel
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Versailles 78 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWWLLWDWWW
Aubagne Air Bel 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLWDLLWLL
Head-to-head
Versailles 78 2–2–0 Aubagne Air Bel (4 last)
  • Versailles 783-0Aubagne Air Bel
  • Aubagne Air Bel1-1Versailles 78
  • Versailles 782-0Aubagne Air Bel
  • Aubagne Air Bel3-3Versailles 78
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Versailles 78 1550 · Aubagne Air Bel 1436
Versailles 78DrawAubagne Air Bel
Our model58%26%16%
Market58%26%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Versailles 78 (rating 1550 vs 1436).
  • H2H favours Versailles 78: 2-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Versailles 78Aubagne Air Bel
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.30.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.40.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.81.5 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 04.3 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Versailles 78 2–2–0 Aubagne Air Bel

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/02/26
France Ligue 3
Versailles 783-0
HT 1-0
Aubagne Air Bel
19/09/25
France Ligue 3
Aubagne Air Bel1-1
HT 0-1
Versailles 78
08/02/25
France Ligue 3
Versailles 782-0
HT 2-0
Aubagne Air Bel
06/09/24
France Ligue 3
Aubagne Air Bel3-3
HT 1-3
Versailles 78

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVersailles 78Aubagne Air Bel
Thionville FC 2-1 W 0-3 L
SC Bastia 3-2 W 0-1 L
Le Puy 1-0 W 0-1 L
La Roche VF 2-3 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Versailles 78 (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Versailles 78

LWWLLWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-1 40 W
03/10 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-0 48 W
26/09 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
1-1 2-1 115 W
19/09 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 54 D
12/09 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
2-0 4-0 44 W
05/09 Cannes
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-3 63 L
29/08 Amiens
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-3 35 L
20/08 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
2-1 3-2 –– W
14/08 Le Puy
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-0 14 W
07/08 La Roche VF
France Ligue 3
1-1 2-3 –– L

Aubagne Air Bel

LLLWDLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Le Puy
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-1 63 L
03/10 La Roche VF
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-3 58 L
26/09 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
1-1 2-1 45 W
19/09 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 23 L
12/09 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-2 41 L
05/09 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 43 D
29/08 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
2-0 2-0 310 W
20/08 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-1 –– L
14/08 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 –– L
07/08 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-3 16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Versailles 78 vs Aubagne Air Bel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Versailles 78 win (58%). Probabilities: Versailles 78 58%, draw 26%, Aubagne Air Bel 16%.

How many goals are expected in Versailles 78 vs Aubagne Air Bel?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Versailles 78 1.7 · Aubagne Air Bel 0.79), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Versailles 78 vs Aubagne Air Bel?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.