Football · Poland III Liga · 30/10, 14:00

Prediction: Wieczysta Krakow II vs Wisla Krakow II

Team pages: Wieczysta Krakow II · Wisla Krakow II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

Wieczysta Krakow II1.2

Wisla Krakow II1.36

1X2

33% 26% 41%

Wieczysta Krakow II Draw Wisla Krakow II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Wieczysta Krakow II 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLWDWD

Wisla Krakow II 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLDDLWLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wieczysta Krakow II 1490 · Wisla Krakow II 1489

	Wieczysta Krakow II	Draw	Wisla Krakow II
Our model	32%	29%	39%
Market	35%	24%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wieczysta Krakow II	Wisla Krakow II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.9	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6.3	3.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.80

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:19 +45’	2.60	3.80	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

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Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	14	10	4	0	22	6	34
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	14	8	5	1	26	11	29
3	Wisloka Debica	14	8	2	4	21	16	26
4	Naprzod Jedrzejow	14	7	3	4	30	27	24
5	Czarni Polaniec	14	7	3	4	20	18	24
6	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26	22	23
7	Wislanie Jaskowice	14	6	3	5	21	15	21
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22	21	20
9	Wisla Krakow II	14	5	4	5	18	19	19
10	JKS Jaroslaw	14	5	2	7	29	26	17
11	Star Starachowice	14	4	5	5	20	21	17
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	14	3	7	4	14	15	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	14	4	4	6	14	17	16
14	Korona Kielce II	14	4	2	8	28	33	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20	32	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	14	3	4	7	11	20	13
17	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	14	3	2	9	14	26	11
18	Moravia Morawica	14	2	3	9	15	26	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wieczysta Krakow II	Wisla Krakow II
Naprzod Jedrzejow	2-2 D	0-0 D
Moravia Morawica	1-0 W	1-0 W
Chelmianka Chelm	0-1 L	0-2 L
Wisloka Debica	3-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Wieczysta Krakow II (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wieczysta Krakow II

WLLLDLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
17/10	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
10/10	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	12	7	D
03/10	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	3	10	W
26/09	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	10	2	L
19/09	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
11/09	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-2	1-2	4	9	L
05/09	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
29/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-0	3-0	–	–	W

Wisla Krakow II

WDLLDDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	2-0	3-1	5	5	W
17/10	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
10/10	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
04/10	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-1	0-3	13	2	L
25/09	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
19/09	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	1-0	3-3	–	–	D
12/09	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
05/09	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
30/08	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
22/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wieczysta Krakow II vs Wisla Krakow II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wisla Krakow II win (41%). Probabilities: Wieczysta Krakow II 33%, draw 26%, Wisla Krakow II 41%.

How many goals are expected in Wieczysta Krakow II vs Wisla Krakow II?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Wieczysta Krakow II 1.2 · Wisla Krakow II 1.36), with a 61% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Wieczysta Krakow II vs Wisla Krakow II?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.